Web Statistics 2016

Friday, 30 December 2016

crude oil price today - crude oil price chart

crude oil price today - crude oil price chart

"crude oil price today - crude oil price chart" 

in the news crude oil price today - crude oil price chart? What this all about..... See below. 


Sentiment Trader can see that CRUDE oil was a good investment this year, Elsewhere, oil was lower, but still looked like it would close in the black for the year, which would be the first time it’s done so since 2013.

Oil actually went up over 40% in 2016. WOW. might be one to watch as we head into 2017. That ascending triangle that has been developing over the last few weeks, is sure to be interesting too. This is quite interesting. 

OIL could glide towards $60 per barrel soon, but that is just a guesstimate, a Reuters poll showed on Thursday, with further upside capped by a strong dollar, a likely recovery in U.S. oil output, and possible non-compliance with agreed cuts.

The market on Friday shrugged off an unexpected increase in U.S. crude inventories, which rose 614,000 barrels in the week to Dec. 23 according to U.S. Energy Information Administration data. Analysts had expected a decrease of 2.1 million barrels.

Still, the rise in crude stocks in the EIA data was significantly smaller than in Wednesday's American Petroleum Institute (API) data that indicated a 4.2 million barrel build in U.S. crude oil stocks in the same period.

Gasoline stocks fell 1.6 million barrels, compared with analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 1.3 million-barrel rise.

The market is likely to have focused on the surprise draw in product stocks and taken a slightly more bullish view towards the WTI contract, traders said

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Thursday, 29 December 2016

stock market news - stock market today

stock market news - stock market today

"stock market news - stock market today" 

in the news stock market news - stock market today? What this all about..... See below. 


Sentiment Trader U.S. stocks closed lower on Thursday in light year-end trading as traders began to look ahead to 2017.

The U.S. announced sanctions against Russian individuals and organizations it believes interfered with the 2016 U.S. election. However, traders said it was likely not affecting stocks.

Obviously the U.S. needed a tougher stance to signal a lasting geopolitical change. But we can forget that for now, because the market, is breaking down out of a rising channel. So that is significant, going into EARLY 2017.  Here is the chart.

The White House sanctioned nine entities and individuals, including two Russian intelligence agencies and four officers of its main intelligence agency. It also expelled 35 Russian diplomats and closed two separate compounds.

Meanwhile, the S&P 500 ended the day down 0.03 percent, with the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund as the biggest laggard, down nearly three quarters of a percent. The index is up 10.05 percent year to date.

Other investors can't seem to agree on whether the market has checked out for the year or is just taking a breather before sprinting to the finish.

Lets be honest It's been a tumultuous year, both politically and in the markets with ups and downs, and people have decided to check out early,.

After the Dow drifted away from the 20,000 mark on Wednesday,  it's important to see where the Dow closes in relation to the milestone, but he's not expecting a lot of volatility during these next two days.

The market's more or less shut down for the year ... so things are pretty quiet. 

The Dollar's been strengthening in a new way that we haven't seen for several months on the Trump rally, and there seems to be some evidence that the strength may be pricing U.S. goods out of world markets.

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Tuesday, 27 December 2016

Where to invest if inflation hits us like a freight train

Where to invest if inflation hits us like a freight train.

"Where to invest if inflation hits us like a freight train." 

Where to invest if inflation hits us like a freight train.? What this all about..... See below. 


There are many investors that agree the economy in 2017 is going to accelerate with Donald trump as the president. Some very smart investors are now saying that if this does actually go ahead, and it does look likely its going to have very serious impact on current interest rates, the dollar and inflation. 

A lot of investors are asking what we should do, and where you should invest once inflation comes back to haunt us. Long term rates reflect a supply and demand for money. Lately yields have been rising and that could mean the Federal reserve are going to tighten and Donald Trump is actually going to help the economy start growing again. 

A lot of investors still think that right now bonds have further to fall. Even after bonds have taken a real battering. That means rates have a very very long way to rise. 

The US dollar is another vehicle that has been doing very well lately. If the fed really is going to raise interest rates, that means that foreign investors are going to start to put their money into the US, and take advantage of the rates, and rate rises. And this would mean the US dollar, already on and upward trajectory will probably just keep going higher, and hit new highs.  Current ETF’s that track the current US dollar moves, only seem to suggest more signs of ultimate strength for the US dollar. Time will tell. 

Under a Trump administration, he is already hinting things like  “make America Great again” and a pillar of that is the return to inflation. Looking at the monthly CRB index or commodities as a whole, you can see the last 10 years, its obvious we were in deflation. 

In recent months it has been trading in a complex sideways narrow channel. What caught traders attention was that the action or pattern is sometimes referred to as a cup and handle pattern, which 85% of the time a reliable signal that the stock or index is about to rally or make a possible move  higher or experience more buying power. So that would be another angle or avenue to take. 

When you also look at the fundamentals, the charts seem to suggest that interest rates are going to head higher, the US dollar will continue to rally higher, and we will see inflation come swiftly. So if these three things are actually going to happen, Trump talking about making the USA great again, could actually come to fruition. If all this played out, the economy and certain industries would get their certain groove back, in a big way.  That is why you need to keep watching these three very important charts as we head into 2017. They could present some very good opportunities, especially with Obama out of office. 

You can see on this chart, just how low interest rates have been for too long. IF we look back in history they obviously do not stay that low for long periods. 

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Monday, 26 December 2016

bitcoin price prediction - Bitcoin predictions

bitcoin price prediction - Bitcoin predictions

"bitcoin price prediction - Bitcoin predictions" 

in the news bitcoin price prediction - Bitcoin predictions? What this all about..... See below. 


Sentiment Trader has watched the rapid rise of bitcoin over the last few weeks. We hit an all time high just 48 hours ago, giving bitcoin investors a nice little gift for xmas. 

Bitcoin is racing towards the $1000 mark again. And the recent currency policies of India's Modi and Venezuela's Maduro may have something to do with it.

Here is the chart..... This is quite interesting. 

They are pushing people into Bitcoins—the digital currency rally coincides with Modi’s and Maduro’s efforts to get rid of old currency notes.

Govt have pursued policies recently that replace large notes in circulation with new notes (India) or with coins (Venezuela).

For a good purpose, of course. Prime Minister Modi has been trying to fight corruption, a widespread problem in India. And President Maduro has been trying to fend off capital flight from the ailing Venezuelan economy.

While both policies have had some success in achieving their objectives, they’ve had a serious side effect, too: undermining public confidence in national currencies as a store of wealth. Why hold a currency that can be printed in unlimited amounts and which has an expiration date?

Of course, the public can hold dollars, euros, yen, and yuan, but those can be manipulated, too.

That’s not the case with Bitcoins, which cannot be manipulated by governments, and therefore, can serve as a good alternative to national currencies.

So Does this make Bitcoin safer as a long-term investment than gold?

It’s hard to say, as past performance isn’t a guarantee for future performance. Besides, Bitcoin has only been around for a short period of time, and its performance is rather erratic.

That’s why investors shouldn’t rush to substitute the yellow metal for the digital currency in their portfolio. But if they have done so in recent months , they should send a thank you note to Prime Minister Modi and President Maduro

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Saturday, 24 December 2016

merry christmas and happy new year - christmas wishes messages

Guys, merry christmas and happy new year - christmas wishes messages

What a fantastic year, we want to take this opportunity today to thank all our members and all our friends with SENTIMENT TRADER we are grateful for our fantastic clients, supports and funders as without you guys, all of this fantastic community would not EXIST.

May all your wishes come true for 2017.

merry christmas and happy new year!

Thursday, 22 December 2016

Will the trump rally continue?

Will the trump rally continue

"Will the trump rally continue 

in the news Will the trump rally continue? What this all about..... See below. 


Sentiment Trader have been asked do we think the trump rally continue?

Quite an interesting question, and we will try to answer that the best way we know how!!

Our thoughts are that with a few days left in 2016, Retail investors typically pile into stocks in the fourth quarter, but are seasonals really enough to keep this skyrocketing market going?

Since Donald trump won the us elections, it seems lot of investors are jumping on the bandwagon here. But how much will that make a difference to the overall stock market. So far we have seen a move of over 4% in the overall S&P 500 post-election. And there are a lot of things at play here over the coming months.

If we go back over 37 years, we are coming into a time where we see what is termed a Santa clause rally. That just means that historically speaking, this fourth quarter a lot of active traders or retail trader are coming back to the stock market and piling into stocks.

Just recently we have gotten some more positive economic data, trump is urging to making America great again, and we still have the post-election euphoria going on at the moment. So we could see some more gains, into the end of the year, like we typically do. But the market this week, is pausing a bit, after such a historical run, you can see the S&P chart below!

This is quite interesting As the S&P500 has thrown itself into a skinny upwards channel, that we have been watching! The bulls have not only sunk their teeth in they have been utterly relentless. Look at the chart below!. 

It is wise to use a bit of caution as the markets run up a bit now since the US Elections was about a month ago! But still, investors seem to be quite bullish so close of the end of year. We were not be so sure. 

If the market is set to move higher into the end of the year, where should the investor be looking. Some of the larger investors on wall st have seen the trend of higher markets into the end of year, and some possibilities would not to be looking at the strength, but take a more contrarian approach  to look to some of the sectors that have been beaten down, sectors such as the biotech, or the pharmaceutical sectors and some of the stocks, that are holding well. Stocks like Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer would be an example. 

These are some of the multinational companies that pay a very nice dividend. They have solid growth, and their P/E ratios are a lot lower than some of the sectors that have been skyrocketing lately.

If the market is really going to keep rallying into the end of the year. And if we really are in one of those situations of being in a SANTA CLAUSE rally, the stocks that are suppressed are more likely to pick up some steam, and get a second wind as we cruise into the next few weeks!

What is interesting at the moment is that the market has not stopped rallying for the last few weeks. This has not happened for a few years. So we will see where we end up. But one thing is obvious, all the nay Sayers that kept calling for a horrific stock market crash if Donald Trump got in, have not only been proved wrong, they have LOST lots of money in the process. It seems we are now in an environment where people actually are starting to realise Donald Trump will not be so bad for the stock market and economy as a whole when he takes oval office in 2017. Time will tell if he actually follows through on his policies, but we are always of the opinion to prepare for the worst and hope for the best.

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Wednesday, 21 December 2016

stock market overbought - will the stock market crash soon

stock market overbought - will the stock market crash soon

"stock market overbought - will the stock market crash soon" 

in the news stock market overbought - will the stock market crash soon? What this all about..... See below. 


Sentiment Trader have been watching the market, and we have had a very good few months. We are now seeing the market in EXTREME overbought conditions. Lets take a quick look at our NAAD or advance decline charts. Basically as of today, you can see this market is in EXTREME or overbought tones. 

Now, don't get us wrong, we are not saying the market cannot go up into the end of year!! What we are saying is the bigger guys on wall st use these charts, and you can tell that they would not be a selling the farm to get in the market right here. That would be dangerous. 

What we care about most is chart, and this is warning us that after one of the biggest rallies on wall st, we need to realise things are OVERDONE, and the bread in the oven is over baked. If you are one of those smart investors, who BUYS LOW and SELLS HIGH, this would not be an area to start any FRESH buying!!!! Here is the chart.... . This is quite interesting for a STOCK MARKET SIGNAL with a few days until XMAS 2016. 

The Sentiment swung to the extreme optimism side. Usually, that signals a pullback.....As the holidays approach, investors expect trading volumes to drop significantly, which may lead to volatile swings within the market. "The trains to Manhattan have started to thin out as some market participants have already commenced their holiday vacation plans, so we urge caution. 

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Tuesday, 20 December 2016

heating Oil - Heating Oil chart

Heating Oil chart

"Heating Oil chart" 

in the news Heating Oil chart? What this all about..... See below. 


Sentiment Trader has been watching the Heating oil chart for a while and some of the other commodities

While the USA is coming into Winter and its brass monkey season, and people are starting to feel the cold, there is sometimes ways to profit from that. Heating OIL is just one way, and lately on the charts you have seen the run up since the middle of NOV 2016. Right now Heating oil has formed what is called an ASCENDING TRIANGLE, on pole, usually a BULLISH pattern, in terms of futures charts. 80% of the time, they normally bust out to the UPSIDE!!

So this is one chart that takes our fancy!! :-)

We will watch and keep our members alerted and updated...... More coming.... 

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Sunday, 18 December 2016

Financials Lead U.S. Stocks Higher

Financials Lead U.S. Stocks Higher

"Financials Lead U.S. Stocks Higher" 

in the news Financials Lead U.S. Stocks Higher? What this all about..... See below. 


Sentiment Trader has just seen the Financials Lead U.S. Stocks Higher, last week, and we wish to talk more about that here on our BLOG. 

We have had a good run in with our VIP PRIVATE MEMBERS area here.  over the last few weeks. 

Looking at the XLF or the financial sector, there is alot of traders who are missing this sort of action. Its quite interesting, that HUGE money has been flooding into this sector over the last few weeks, and as the XLF broke out of the 20 area, we have shot up to 23 very fast. Without a care in the world. Have a quick look at the charts below.  

This chart is quite interesting. Look at the huge rally up, on the FED news. Very interesting!!  XLF - Financial sector. 

If you are starting to get excited, ........DONT!

You might be too late to the party here, but there is no reason you should not keep watching this, or put it on your watch list. The fed raising interest rates is not only going to be good for the economy, its going to really help the BANK, REGIONAL BANK, and BANKING STOCKS!!!! i.e. XLF or the finanical sector is probably going to be watched like a hawk the next few months, going into 2017. SO this is just a heads up. 

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Friday, 16 December 2016

vix volatility index chart - vxx chart

vix volatility index chart - vxx chart

"vix volatility index chart - vxx chart" 

in this update vix volatility index chart - vxx chart? What this all about..... See below. 


Sentiment Trader has alot to talk about, because its been a very few big weeks for our VIP members. Its been quite a good end to the year, but what we want to take a look at and update is the VIX chart on the daily time frame. 

What you can see is since trump got elect the VIX has got right back down. So the wild swings have stopped. But the VIX is very low now, and this could mean, the market is susceptible to sell offs. Low vix, is high market risks, and higher vix means the market should see very nice rallies come. 

For us,  This is quite interesting. The reason is many of the big traders on wall st, know its all about the VIX in 2016, and 2017 will be no different. 12 On Vix seems a bit low to us. As you can see everytime the VIX hit lows in the 11's or 12 that marked a significant area in terms of the market. 

The S&P 500 has been coming off the highs the last few days, and the VIX would agree with that where it currently sits. 

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Wednesday, 14 December 2016

Here’s what the market did the last two times the Fed raised rates

Here’s what the market did the last two times the Fed raised rates

"Here’s what the market did the last two times the Fed raised rates" 

in the news Here’s what the market did the last two times the Fed raised rates? What this all about..... See below. 


Sentiment Trader can see The last time the Fed raised short-term interest rates, stocks rallied. On Dec. 16, 2015, when the Fed boosted rates by 0.25 percent, the S&P 500 rose 1.45 percent, while the Dow Jones industrial average climbed 1.28 percent. The enthusiasm was short-lived, however, and the S&P sank more than 11 percent by mid-February.

The 2015 rate hike marked the first time in more than nine years that the Fed decided to boost the range for its key rate, which currently stands at 0.25 percent to 0.50 percent. Before that, the Fed last raised rates in June 2006. Markets also rewarded the news then, with the S&P jumping 2.2 percent and the Dow rising 2 percent, as the Fed strongly hinted that its long string of 17 rate hikes could be coming to a close.

But after 12 months, what happened, and what sectors did the best 12 months after the FED raised rates? Its and interesting questions some of our members keep asking, so here is our response. History could repeat here. So we will give you a little look back in history to help you with your investments. 


The Federal Open Market Committee raised its target range from 0.25 percent to 0.5 percent to a range of 0.5 percent to 0.75 percent. The overnight funds rate currently sits at 0.41 percent. In addition to approving the much-expected increase, the FOMC also indicated a higher rate than projected back in September when it last released the quarterly look ahead. The committee now expects three rate hikes in 2017, two or three in 2018 and three in 2019.

The Fed projecting three rate hikes for next year "did catch people off-guard, but but [the Fed] did say four rate hikes for this year, anyone who makes decisions on that is a bit silly because what we've seen with Janet Yellen is she let's the numbers tell the story."

It's all about reality setting in, and we have to expect more volatility and less momentum buying."

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Tuesday, 13 December 2016

stock market bear - oh dear

stock market bear

"stock market bear" 

in the news stock market bear? Whats this all about..... See below. 


Well our predictions do seem to be on track, but I guess we will admit we are not Nostradamus to the market. We can just see there is what is TERMED a Santa Clause Rally happening right now. And predicted this back in AUGUST!

So what we have is a market that keeps hitting new highs, and there are a few angry bears around the traps. 

YES! Stock market bear 's are signing the blues right now!!....... :-) 

The stock market is sitting up at new highs, and we have just witnessed a rally that has not been seen in 40 years or so........ its quite amazing, and everyone is still in the TRUMP honeymoon phase as we are calling this....

But what is next??......

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Monday, 12 December 2016

stock market crash 2017 - will the stock market crash soon

stock market crash 2017 - will the stock market crash soon

"stock market crash 2017 - will the stock market crash soon" 

in the news stock market crash 2017 - will the stock market crash soon? What this all about..... See below. 


Sentiment Trader keep hearing Many economists are saying that after an exuberant stock market rally, now is the time to take heed and that the stock market has not crashed for many years. According to the seasonal charts, stock market crashes occur about every 8 or 9 years, so since the last panic sell off in the stockmarket was 2008, we are now overdue. 

There will come a point where the music will stop for investors and people will panic to get out of the stock market. Of course we do not know when, or even how, we just know if you study the stock market, that sell offs and crashes almost always happen when people do not expect it. No one really likes them, but just know they do occur. There is no real reason to panic; we just have to be aware of the stock market environment anyway. Especially here at the end of 2016.

If you can admit stock market crashes do actually occur and the next one is coming, that is a positive sign and you can move on and protect yourself the right way. As humans we must recognize that in good times, we must always be willing to prepare and save for the difficult times. 

No one can predict the timing of market correction. They are sudden, even the crash of 1987 came without much warning. Do you remember that one.....??

Here are several ways you can protect yourself in case a stock market crash does occur. 

1. Bear Markets do actually happen. 

Yes the stock market is an entity unto itself. Markets go up for a period of time, and then they go down. What happens to people is that after a period of the market going up for several years, they buy in, hoping this trend will continue only to lose out, as the trend changes, and they become hopeful the rally will continue. You must realise Bear markets can occur for weeks, months or even years. 

2.  Follow a 5-Year Rule

A good rule is not to listen to idiot investors and never invest money you are going to need over the next 5 years. That is a big no no. This is important advice for people who are going to retire, and who are also counting on their investments for daily expenses.  You want to try to avoid this situation all together, if you can. Retirees who have to sell stocks and bonds during a bear market to meet their living arrangement are not really going to live a very good life. Learn to plan ahead. 

3. Keep Out of Debt

This may come as a surprise. But it has nothing to do with investing. As humans we take finances without much care at all. If put a lot of money in the stock market, and it falls 20% and you lose a significant amount of money, and you are already in debt. This is going to add to your problems as you get older. Especially if you are already in huge amounts of debt.  

In my experience people who have little debt, relative to how much they earn, are more likely to weather from a volatile stock market or a bear market or god forbid a horrific crash, where the market might drop say 20%. Ensure you are keeping debt to a minimum before putting on a blindfold and lumping cash in the stock market.

In the end, you have to remember no one is a psychic. No one knows when the bottom of the stock market will occur and the exact top. If you try to buy at the bottom and sell at the top, prepare to be ruined as an active investor. 

What you can do this year, is to simply educate yourself on market cycles, and read literary works from market timing authors that could help you be more in tune with what is happening with the stock market or global markets. This will help keep you in check if a downturn was to occur and to be in a better position to take proactive steps before the new year. 

Normally if you are an active investor you must remain calm, and realise that over time the stock market is designed to go up, and not down. But be that as it may the stock market never goes up in a straight line and you must be able to work around an event like the stock market being cut in half during a bear market. 

While that is very extreme, it simple comes back to the saying on wall st – “prepare for the worst, but hope for the best” if you do this, you will be able to make money in both the short term and longer term. 

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