Web Statistics The Sentiment Trader
Showing posts with label usd. Show all posts
Showing posts with label usd. Show all posts

Thursday, 8 December 2016

Will the stock market continue to rally in 2017


Will the stock market continue to rally in 2017

"Will the stock market continue to rally in 2017" 

in the news Will the stock market continue to rally in 2017? What this all about..... See below. 

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Well there are many people talking up the market, and then there are others who say a catastrophic event is on the way very soon. There is accumulating evidence that the economy is very much strengthening, and if this is the truth, that could be very good for the economy and stocks in 2017. 

Although we can have a very optimistic view. We must take into consideration TRUMP will be president next year, and no one is really sure what is in store for us. So there are a few simple warnings for investors.

If the bull market continues for the next few months, and does not take a pause. Then what you have on your hands is a market that is vulnerable. Meaning, the higher we go, the more chance we will have of some type of serious correction.  If we get higher interest rates, and we have a strong US dollar as well that would be something many investors will be afraid of, so we have to be careful here, to think the market will go skywards every week without some type of pause. 

Let’s be honest, since Donald trump Got in, the market shot up fast, and may be getting a little ahead of itself.  Think of a helium balloon, once the balloon is fresh with helium it will go up and up, but there will be a point as which the balloon will start to lose its strength, and then deflate and stop ascending. 

The equities in the US have been going higher since Donald Trump’s surprising victory. Some have been referring to this as the TRUMP RALLY, or the DONALD TRUMP rally. Maybe this is a coincidence because people are sick of the lies from the democrats and want change. Maybe Donald Trump getting in, could mean a cleansing out for the economy and stock market and that could be a good thing. Time will tell. 

You can now see that the S&P has broken the very solid resistance at 2175 and we have exploded UP very very violently. 




What we have to remember is this current bull market could continue, and the reason is due to lower tax rates and a business environment that is much friendly, once Trump is actually in the white house office.

Smart money is already starting to shift to consumer staples and discretionary plays, as well as technology. It seems Donald trump is going to support these areas, and there could be huge growth potential in the next 4 years.  That would be an area some of the smart investors are looking right now as we head towards 2017.

With better economic growth and tax reforms that would mean small- and mid-cap stocks will benefit quite extensively, but if the US dollar was to keep rallying, that would only hurt larger multinationals. 

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Friday, 29 March 2013

usd daily chart update

usd daily chart update

If we take a look at the us dollar daily chart you can see that we still in a major upwards channel, and things look very strong. At the moment there is lots of panic around the Cyprus crisis and people are still looking somewhere for safety. The USD is one of those vehicles.

up and up and up she goes, where she stops nobody knows?

I wouldnt be surprised if we see the 84 level come very soon.

usd chart
usd chart

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Sunday, 3 March 2013

Bonds Weekly Chart - The Bonds Weekly Chart

Bonds Weekly Chart 

The Bonds Weekly Chart is clearly in a downwards channel at the moment. With a target of 147. We have noticed over the last week or two money coming out of the stock and equities, and into the USD and bonds.

The Bonds Weekly Chart is also showing us that things are very very oversold longer term. So we would not be surprised to see Bonds Weekly Chart go up and reach the 147 market and then possibly break its falling resistance line and head higher.

The Bonds Weekly Chart is very telling and we will monitor this over the coming weeks.



bonds weekly chart
bonds weekly chart





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Monday, 1 October 2012

The Air Down There!

How is the air down there? Well I must say that the S&P did have a great start to the day, but then trust Ben Bernanke to come through and wreck that. The man got up shaking, his lips quivered, and we all know he was lying through his teeth, but this moron caused the S&P to sell off and wipe out its globex gains by the close. LOL. So a nothing nothing day really!

Looking at the chart, we have still broken the rising channel, and we seem to be forming a small consolidation pattern down there. Is this just a bear trap where we trap traders short and then shoot higher to the moon? or is this a bearish flag (a pattern that normally precedes lower prices) like some traders are seeing.




This market requires a bit of patience, but my thoughts are that even though we have broken the upwards channel the market is still holding its head above water for now. A break below the smaller line on the chart = bearish! But if the buyers take charge and take us back into that bigger rising channel, that will be very very bullish. But for now, we just need to be patience and wait. 




USD

Here we are on the USD. We have been talking about it being all about the dollar recently. The QE3 program is not good for the USD, but no matter what the news brings we must keep watching the charts. Right now the USD is at a make or break area. It is touching the falling resistance line that goes all the way back to JULY 2012. This is a very important area and the next few days are also important as a break will be bad for the US indicies, but hitting this line and then seeing bears come back will actually be very bullish for the indicies. But it is all about the USD right, so we need to be patient and watch as the week is young. :-D








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