Web Statistics The Sentiment Trader
Showing posts with label spx update. Show all posts
Showing posts with label spx update. Show all posts

Tuesday, 30 August 2016

Calm before the storm - Calm before the storm

Calm before the storm

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Calm before the storm ?



Calm before the storm
Calm before the storm



Calm before the storm

Is the stock market really in a situation of us seeing the calm before the storm... Is this true?

U.S. stocks closed lower Tuesday, with utilities falling 1 percent, as investors analyzed strong consumer data while keeping an eye on Federal Reserve ahead of Friday's jobs report.

"After coming off of Jackson Hole, ...all the attention is now to the jobs report," said Bob Phillips, managing principal at Spectrum Management Group. "If it comes out to be a decent number, I think the market will sell off."

Economists polled by Reuters expect the U.S. economy to have added 180,000 jobs in August.

Investors continued searching for clues regarding the Fed's next move Tuesday, after Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer said the U.S. job market is almost at full strength. Fischer made his remarks less than a week after telling CNBC that the August jobs report will weigh on the central bank's decision on whether to raise interest rates.

"We are officially in a rate-rising market, even thought it's only been one rate rise," said Larry Rosenthal, president at Rosenthal Wealth Management Group. "People need to go back to basics and ... have lower beta portfolios." "Keep things simple."

The S&P 500 fell 0.2 percent, with utilities leading nine sectors lower and financials the only advancer. The financials sector has risen more than 3 percent in August, leading all 10 sectors.

Looking at the chart, the S&P has not done much for WEEKS!!! But as you can tell, this does not occur that frequently. Eventually this will break either way. We can say that the month of SEPTEMBER does tend to be a Negative type of month, so just a heads up. That is a statistic if look back 50 years. A break of 2150 spx would be bearish, but as we said, the smart money is doing nothing right now!. 

Calm before the storm


"The consumer confidence came in strong and that bodes well for the Fed to raise rates," said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at First Standard Financial, but noted he does not expect the Fed to hike next month, rather later this year. "That shows consumer are cheerful and that spending will remain [high]."
Other data released Tuesday included the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite index, which rose 5.1 percent year over year, versus expectations of 5.2 percent.

"These are the dog days of summer," said Bruce McCain, chief investment strategist at Key Private Bank. "It's a pretty boring time in terms of economic data and the net result is the market doesn't know what to do."
Stocks closed higher on Monday, with the S&P rising 0.52 percent, marking its 36th straight session without a 1 percent move higher or lower on a closing basis. At the close, Monday was on pace for the lowest trading volume day of the year.  -    Source : Cnbc.


 I cover more and more technical analysis ==> HERE in our VIP members section.



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Wednesday, 22 July 2015

dow transports chart - dow transports chart warning us

dow transports chart - dow transports chart warning us

So This morning I took a quick peek at dow transports chart along with the dow jones charts

Now I know that the Dow jones transports chart is now not as fully weighted as it once was, but I have learnt that you should chart this every day, as its the leader of the market. So its a good habit to get into.

Anywho.....

When you look at the dow jones chart, and also the dow jones transports chart you can see that the DOW JONES just popped below the 50 day moving average line today, and the transports, is looking sickly. It cannot even get its head above level. Maybe this is a warning that some more selling might be about to come into the market. Sure looks that way anyway? time will tell.

I am not saying we will crash soon, no way! But what I am saying is that when these patterns stick out like a sore thumb one must pay attention.

I cover more and more technical analysis ==> HERE in our VIP members section.


dow transports chart
dow transports chart

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Saturday, 22 March 2014

spx update

spx update

The S&P has been trading in a 60 point range at the moment. Eventaully this will have to break either upwards or downwards and flow that market that way. But for now, this annoying grind sideways lasts.

You would expect this too, as back in FEBRUARY we saw one of the biggest rallies we have seen in the last 12 or so months. At a time when everyone was saying the market will crash. This is a lesson to the bears for 2014, do not write off the bulls yet, there is not reason too.

Its funny, you know, because every time the bears seem to write off the bulls, they come right back and give them a swift kick to the groin region and walk away with a big grin on their face. My guess is this is going to continue to happen again in 2014.

We are only about 40 points away from the 1900 level. While the 1900 has not been hit yet, my guess it 1900 will indeed be coming soon, so strap yourself in for a wild ride to there - would be my best advice to you. :-))))))))





spx update
spx update


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Friday, 3 January 2014

spx update

spx update

The main indexes closed with some mixed chop, sp -0.6pts. There probably risk of further downside early next week, and it seems the magnet for the S&P right now is the resistance level back in december 2013 of around the 1810 - 1811 area.


spx update
spx update


Lets be honest, it was pretty chopping trading this week, however, you must remember that the big wig traders, are actually still on holiday, and its still a quiet slow wet market right now.

Next week things really get back to normal, where we have the FOMC minutes midweek, and the monthly jobs data next friday, so things should be a bit more active I would think next week.

More updates coming!...

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Monday, 16 December 2013

Tussle on the market

Tussle on the market

A Tussle on the market is occuring

The SPX did have a nice day up, but the supply and demand at -23 is telling people to be cool and calm before the TAPER news in a few days. We have been in a massive to and fro on the market, as in a 30 pts range on the S&P and the market is sure having a hard time trying to get out of this region. When it does, we will probably see the bigger move this month. Until then.....

spx chart
spx chart






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Monday, 2 December 2013

spx update

spx update

While many out there are calling a top, you have to remember we are in the midst of a bull market. It would take a market crash or a heavy sell off to see the start of a bear market or a nice market top.

There are no catalysts out there right now to move this market, but that does not  mean there is NOT some sort of catalyst coming. Infact we are due for one, and the longer the govt keeps printing money the worse things will be for the dollar and the market when the shit hits the proverbial fan somewhere down the track. But for now the market is holding.

Right now the S&P is in a skinny upwards channel that has not been broken, as you can see on the chart below, since OCT the market has been doing quite nicely, and now leading into December the smart money will work its way out, and we do not expect too much volatility.


spx update
spx update



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Saturday, 26 October 2013

Spx Update

Spx Update

We were expecting some upwards momentum on the market FRIDAY and we got it!

The bulls won yet again even though there still seems to be this bearish tone amongst the news and other blogs.

It's self evident that whilst QE continues...we're likely going to keep powering in an upward fashion.

This was the third consecutive weekly gain for the US equity markets. There were some major buy stops hit at the end of the week, and if this keeps up, we could see the 1790 - 1800 area soon we feel.

We have the FOMC next week, and I doubt there is to be any spine tingling bearish news on that front. On the 60 minute chart below you can see that even though we have been going sideways, this market has really been holding well thus far.








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Thursday, 3 October 2013

Market update october

Market update October

There is no doubt the GOVT shutdown is having some sort of affect on the market, but it is more directly related to the debt ceiling agreement that is coming up in the next few weeks. We shall see what sort of BS the congress has in store for us then. I always get a good laugh out of their lies, BS and propaganda. Thank goodness that in the VIP MEMBERS AREA HERE  we only  concentrate on all the charts that do matter. It has been a good week for our  VIP MEMBERS  HERE 

Onto the charts.....

With all this downdraft on the markets, you can see that the S&P is in a downwards channel. Things are still favoring the bears, and below 1700 should be bearish, and above this level should be bullish in my eye. We shall see what happens next!

spx daily chart
spx daily chart 

We have been watching the VIX very closely, as a few days ago, we did warn it was staring to look particularly strong! Just look at all the events moving the vix at the moment, pointed out in the chart below. Today we broke 18 on the VIX as you can see, but by the close of the market the sellers came right back. Breaking 18 today, is significant, and does mean two very important things.....

1) Traders are looking for a flight to safety and insuring their bets on the market. 

2) There is a good chance we see higher prices on the VIX soon. 

If these things are true, it will only put more pressure on the stock market and indices.


VIX chart
VIX chart


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Friday, 28 June 2013

Market Update 29th June 2013

The Fed Tapering News Is Really causing some havoc with the market. I Explain why in the VIDEO below.

WATCH the Latest Market Update Video Below.

Market Update - Video Analysis 29th June
 

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Friday, 10 May 2013

Strong market - my oath

The weekly chart on the SPX is quite strong. The bulls are back indeed!, they are not only beating on their chest, they are winking at the bears and whispering "GO ON GIVE A GO SON!"

We finished on 1633 today and we believe that the LEVELS FOR VIP MEMBERS ONLY. 

Since 1400 we are in what we are calling and accelerated uptrend. There is not doubt this market is quite resilient at the moment and next week is going to be very interesting.

strong weekly market
strong weekly chart

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Tuesday, 26 February 2013

latest spx update - our latest spx update

There has been lots going on as of late, and the market did indeed need to take a break.

As you can see we topped out several days ago, and we are currently trading below the 1500 mark at or around the 1494 level.

we do have lower targets, however..........  levels, for VIP ELITE GROUP  only! - Join Here! 




spx update



The market breadth chart was in overbought territory as we have been saying a drop was due, and we are getting a nice one after reaching sentiment traders VIP levels. We are at the 65 level, and there is more room to run down, but we still remain in a bullish market. 

market breadth update





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Thursday, 24 January 2013

1493 came

well 1493 came on the market we are still going up closer to our 1500 target! WOW only a few points away. Can it do it? 

We seem to be in upwards channel which has not broken yet.



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Wednesday, 2 January 2013

spx update

Exactly as we predicted, as the smart money is continuing to come back into the market.

The market took weeks to sell off, and the bears got excited. And it literally only took a few days for the bulls to wipe out the downwards pressure and then some! :-)

The holiday re-reversal that was talked about is playing out very nicely and 2013 has really started well.

The chart below shows that the S&P finished today at 1457, wow, but seems more upside is coming soon.

.



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Sunday, 30 December 2012

spx update

spx update

An important update today.

My VIP members are normally the ones who get these updates. That is why you should join.

However, there are many readers who have emailed me recently, saying the market is about to crash and why we are not BEARISH.

The simple fact is the market breadth and leading patterns are not bearish.

Here is what other analysts out there are not telling you when looking at the S&P 500 chart.

1) Funds are now closed down for the year, and not back till next year. This means the smart money is out of the market. 

2) The low volume on the market is just speculators and retail traders. 

3) The movements in the market right now are typical holiday reversals, and you should not be trading when there is thin volume. We tell our VIP members this. 

4) The moment in the last week or so, is not even worth looking at in my opinion as the smart money is not trading it, and this should not even be considered as it can throw of your trading and or analysis. 

5) Our predictions have been spot on, and taking profits is mandatory in any market. If you did this, you would be doing very well. Always take profits.

6) Trading at or around XMAS time is risky, and that is why I took time to visit friends and take a break from the market altogether. It has been a fantastic year. 2013 is setting up to be a wild and prosperous one also. 

spx update
spx update


Anyway, no matter what, these are some important points you must remember when trading in december or close to years end.


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