Broke To The Upside

Well we were saying the range on the S&P should be watched carefully, and said it was not long till we broke either upside or downside.

You can see in our LAST POST HERE

We broke to the upside, however I would not call it a convincing break!. The bulls yet again still have the upper hand I think. We are still up past our 1500 level we called months ago, and still the bears do not seem to be making their mark.

Yes, we are still in a bull market, however I can say to you that we are starting to see some very interesting signals on the charts, and a few warning signs that market may soon get a bit tired.


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Dow Jones Transports Chart - Strong Dow Jones Transports Chart

Have a look at the dow jones transports chart below.

What we have noticed is that our breadth indicator charts have been spot on, as on the chart below, the dow jones trasports chart is showing us that we have hardly even seen one red day on the market this year. WOW!

Over $44 billion dollars has been put into work on the market since the 1st of January, and as  you can see they want to put this money to work, or make it work for them (as they say)

We said at the start of the year, DO NOT FALL IN LOVE WITH THE DOWNSIDE, and now you can see why!.

The DOW JONES TRANSPORTS CHART does look strong, and yes, a top will come soon, however we just look and read charts first, and the dow jones transports chart below is still looking very bullish.

dow jones transports chart

The vix chart below is showing us that it has been very suppressed lately and has struggled to find a bid. As you know the VIX is the inverse trade to the S&P and stock market, it has given the bulls just what they need to keep the market bullish and to keep that $44 billion dollars (we mentioned above) hard at work!!!!!!

Over the last few weeks, the VIX has tested the 14 level, and failed to get above, which has been helping the bulls. 

vix daily chart

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Market Update - Latest market update

Well yesterday we warned a FALLING BULLISH WEDGE had formed. It seemed we were spot on => SEE LINK HERE!

It seemed that played out perfectly. :-)

First have a look at the leader of the market, the Dow Jones transports. It is in a very nice uptrend and holding very well. 

This has been a freight train, We have only had a few red days since the 5200 level. 

dow jones transportation 

The Summation or market breadth has clearly been signaling to NOT FALL IN LOVE WITH THE DOWNSIDE, and that has been correct. We are still on a BUY DIPS stance and nothing has changed for now. We need to continue to monitor this chart in the coming weeks, but for now as said, we are still in a buy the dips position on the market. 

summation chart

The nasdaq has been going sideways the last few days, but the hourly chart below is signaling we are oversold again, and some sort of bounce is coming. 

nasdaq hourly chart

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risk on risk off - is it risk on or risk off

weeeeeeee! Up We Gooooooo!!!! LOL :P

The S&P is up over 70 points in 3 days. WOW! IT has been a complete BEAR SMOKING to the upside here.

We warned our readers to not fall in love with the downside, when we were in low volume holiday trading and now you can see why :-)

Today was a good day in the market. MOC we had almost 7 billion volume to buy. Even though the markets are overextended, they can remain that way for a while. Bears have really been creamed in the last few days, and probably lost all hope. LOL :->

What is happening right now, is that we get all these little FALSE sell offs, and that has been tricking the bears. They have been trying to test the market on the sell side, they put in their buys stops, we rally up higher, then their stops go off like a rocket and that gives us more of a boost higher!

When you have NATURAL CASH buying or buyers in the market, like we do have right now they send us up higher and keep us triggering the buy programs and or buy stops up overhead. That's what I saw many weeks ago, and warned our readers and that is why we keep ripping to the upside.

Over the last 4 days, smart money has put $5.5 billion dollars to work in the broader markets. In laymen's terms this means in the short term, the markets are most likely to go HIGHER. YES!

I guess we can say that there is a little bit of risk here also at the moment. The higher the market goes up without any serious pullbacks, at some point we will get that pull back and it will probably be a good sized one.

Now we are above our important levels of 1440 and 1450, it means that we are possibly making our way to the 1485 - 1490 now, so prepare yourself. :-)

Already our members are off to a flying start for 2013, and we are only a few days in. :-)

Happy trading :-)



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What the charts say

If we take a look at summation, we have not hit a sell signal in the market yet. As we have been saying, there is not reason to FALL IN LOVE WITH THE DOWNSIDE at the moment, no matter what others are saying or telling you to do.

When the charts tell you to buy dips, that is the smartest thing you should do. If you have been doing this and following your charts, you should be doing very well.  That is still what the summation is screaming at us for now. When we get to debt ceiling and fourth quarter reports, in a few weeks, that could be a different story but for now, that summation is still on a buy, and hinting to remain a bit cautious.










If you remember back a few weeks ago, we hinted that 1500 could be coming on the market. YOU CAN READ THE POST HERE . I called it a wild prediction, however with the fiscal cliff drama out of the way, it DOES NOT seem so much of a wild prediction any more.  Some readers did laugh off such claims, but see how 2 days can make a difference on the market.

Infact if we take a look at the weekly S&P chart, you can see how 1500 is not very far away at all now. The band-aid fix to the fiscal cliff did help alot and we would not be surprised to see 1500 come. I guess time will tell.

spx weekly chart

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Holiday Re-reversals

As said, the market has been in typical holiday reversal the last few weeks.

As the BS fiscal cliff is working itself out, the smart money is only just starting to come back into the market, the market pops up. :-) Exactly what we were expecting and posted a few days ago.

This is a great lesson to learn if you are new to trading to look for reversals, and then re-reversals after the holidays come to an end.

As we have been saying to NOT FALL IN LOVE with the downside. Now you can see why. :-D

It was not a good day for bears today, but the good news for bulls is that the smart money is not entirely back in the market, and leading breadth and indicators are suggesting there is more up coming. Today however, was a very good victory for the bulls, and confirming that they have not lost hope.

As you can see on the charts, we sold off in globex, but then snapped back hard by the end of the day. There is not much reason to count the last 2 weeks due to holidays and low volume. But the next few days are important, and suggesting there is more upside coming, and more positive news surrounding the fiscal cliff news.

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