The Rise In Equities

The Rise In Equities

I think the best way to explain the stock market is FROTHY, meaning there has been much positivity and excitement since JANUARY As you can see this year has been very good for traders who thought the market was going to go up. Just look at the S&P chart from the very start of this year!

There has been a nice run in equities here, and private and corporate resurgence is making things very good for investors. Private equity is roaring back and making things a better environment. We warned our VIP members of this, and so far that seems to be continuing for now.

It is interesting that as I post this and as you read this, and the market is doing so well, it is exactly 5 years ago, that LEHMAN BROTHERS Collapsed badly and the market crashed and look what has happened since. WOW....just WOW!




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NYMO chart

NYMO chart

We are -57% on the NYMO.

The NYMO tends to trade around inside the bollinger bands quite nicely and as you can see it does not like to trade outside of these. Only on rare occasions does this happen. We are again close to the bottom bollinger, and even though the market is very overbought we seem to be holding quite well.

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Rocketship Rally

Rocketship Rally? - Or Is This A Top?

There is a lot of division amongst traders right now to whether this is the start of another upwards burst run on the market, or is this just the top of the market right before a big sell off or CRASH like some pundits out there are predicting. Right now, the most astute thing you can do is just take each day as it comes.

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No one is Nostradamus and can predict where the market will defiantly go today, tomorrow and also next week, however As sentiment traders we have found that over the years making money always comes easily when you stay with the smart money or where the main sentiment seems to be from week to week. This is not only a smart thing to do, but is very profitable 99% of the time. You are giving yourself a higher probability of winning and lowering your chances of seeing losses come to your account.  The S&P 500 weekly chart below is a doozy, because as you can see the smart money has been buying dips, so if you have been doing this, there is not reason why you should not be making money.

This can change at any time, however if you view the weekly S&P chart below you can see that we have been in an upwards channel since the start of 2012. This year (2013) has been an amazing year for the bulls, and as you read this, the market again closed up 2% to close out the week as Bernanke's dovish tones stopped the market participants panicking about his previous comments about tapering off the money stimulus that has been flooding these markets since 2009. This week we have hardly saw much selling at all, and people trying to get short, pre-emting a top must be feeling very frustrated.

Things never go up in a straight line, however our rocket man below has been thrust back into his seat and can feel the true raw power of a BULL MARKET, where you get higher lows, and higher highs, so far we have seen a higher low in JUNE, so are we about to see a HIGHER HIGH now? Well that could most certainly happen, and things are heating up and it is only a matter of time to see where these full force bulls can take us?

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Columbus Day - Holiday Reversals Abound

We got a good jobs on friday, number but we whenever we get up to significant highs the market
does like to do a little back and filling!!! So that is what we got today.

But realistically the markets were overbought short term, and into a long weekend, the market does tend to show reversal signs a day or so before. As you can see on the S&P chart below, we stopped cold at the Sept highs and then sold off into the close.

What I want to remind you here is that MONDAY is Columbus Day in the US so the CME the currencies, the bonds and the CME group is closed. Big traders will likely not be doing much till the middle of next week.

With that in mind, I will not be around posting much till TUES / WED next week.

Happy trading :-)

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Bulls 2 Day March! - Ole

TGIF (Thank God It's Friday), Well it has been a long week, the jobs report came out today a little bit on the weak side, but again as sentiment keeps saying that really has not affected the S&P to the downside. We had a Very typical small range that normally occurs after a big up day. Even though it was a smaller range day today it seems that the bulls still have control of this market for now.

What we do want to note is that the market right now is up against its 1440 highs a level we saw back in MAY 2008, and that is a very important level there. Again, we must be cautious, but sentiment trader is warning there is a bit of a small melt up type situation that seems to be playing out.

The market still remains strong and within the upwards channel we have noted several days ago.

There is not much economic news coming in the next few sessions, however there is the FOMC next week, that alot of traders will be watching.

Happy Trading :-)

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