end of the world - end of the world as we know it

end of the world - end of the world as we know it

Hi ,
Heads they win, tails we lose… That seems to be the public’s mood after the first presidential debate. But instead of focusing on the political dumpster fire, let’s step back and take a ‘trader’s eye view’ of the election.  

Its been an EXCITING time for our members, and VERY PROFITABLE => CLICK HERE TO SEE!
This really is the ‘end of the world’ as we know it (but not in the way you might think). You see: Markets react to change. So we can expect to see some intense volatility before and after election day. Actually the aftermath could trigger a chain reaction in the global financial markets. For reasons I’ll explain in more detail during a special training next week, this election could be the most disruptive catalyst we’ve seen since the 2008 Financial Crisis. Regardless of who wins in November, now is the time to do two things… Take steps to make sure your portfolio doesn’t go up in smoke. Get ready to act on some truly unforgettable trading opportunities. You can call it the ‘Perfect Storm’… Or a ‘Tsunami’… Or a ‘Powder Keg’… Or whatever metaphor you prefer. But this truly is the end of the world as we’ve known it for the past 8 years. Let me be clear, one thing I am not doing is predicting Armageddon or anything. But if you look at past elections, there is every reason to expect dramatic price action. And this time could be like nothing we’ve seen before. That’s because the world economy has been propped up by central banks to an unprecedented degree since 2008. For a long time, all it took to make money was to buy the dips. Many seem to believe a rising stock market and low economic growth is the new normal. But don’t be fooled. Trillions in coordinated Quantitative Easing by central banks around the world sent the DOW to new highs (and interest rates to historic lows). There is just one big catch… Nothing got fixed. And, unlike in 2008, the central banks are backed into a corner. OUCH! In the last market meltdown, they papered over the problem with funny money. What are they going to do this time? Here’s the bottom line... The U.S. economy is the glue holding the global economy together, and the Dollar is the world’s de facto reserve currency. For the last 8 years, our markets have been the ‘flight to quality’ safe haven, but with this election everything could change. No matter who wins in November, uncertainty is the new normal. As traders, we’re fortunate that we can turn intense volatility into windfall profits. Even so, whether the markets go up, down, or sideways, NOW is the time to get ready. That’s why on October 5th, I’m doing a training devoted specifically to ‘Trading the Election’. The goal is to be prepared for opportunities in a variety of markets around the world, including stocks, bonds, currencies, and more… If you’re looking for sane ways to trade the upcoming insanity, I invite you to join me…
You can JOIN ME HERE => CLICK HERE NOW Also we soon show you why the next few months could be very exciting indeed (as long as you’re positioned correctly). Until then… Happy Trading

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Here's the markets' biggest fear about the debate

Here's the markets' biggest fear about the debate

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Here's the markets' biggest fear about the debate ?

Here's the markets' biggest fear about the debate

Here's the markets' biggest fear about the debate

Forget the riff raff....  Here's the markets' biggest fear about the debate

Well we are just hours away from this going LIVE and our analysts are watching closely.

For Wall Street, Monday night's first presidential debate is a bit like a dress rehearsal for the election, and the markets could call the winner.

Many market pros have made no secret of favoring Democrat Hillary Clinton over GOP real estate mogul Donald Trump. The conventional thinking is that the former senator and secretary of state would be more positive for stocks as a status quo candidate with known policies, and that a win by Trump would bring uncertainty and cause a risk-off trade, at least initially.

"We could see fireworks" in the markets Tuesday, said Jack Ablin, BMO's chief information officer. Clinton and Trump take the stage at 9 p.m. EDT in the first of three debates.

Anxiety about the election was running high Monday, as stocks sold off and bond yields fell. While concerns about Deutsche Bank and other factors started the selling, there's a clear nervousness building. Polls have tightened, and markets have been forced to consider the possibility of a Trump victory, after ignoring the election for months.

"He's campaigning as the outsider who wants to break some glass, and with it there's a 'damn the consequences.' I do think there's a fair amount of headline and uncertainty risk associated with a Trump presidency," said Ablin. "On the flip side, I think Clinton is the consummate insider, who will deliver more of the same. That would be more a certainty factor."

Art Hogan, chief market strategist at Wunderlich Securities, said the debate should be the turning point for market interest in the election.

"That's when the market starts taking it seriously. Right now, the polls have it too close to call, and that's a change — two weeks of gradual momentum on Trump's side and two weeks of flattening out and no momentum on the Clinton side. You have a pivotal event. then we'll look at it (Tuesday), if it stays too close to call, that's a negative. The market wanted to price in an inevitable more-of-the-same victory," said Hogan.

Strategists say winner of the debate may win more for appearance and attitude than for substantive policy.

"It's going to become a factor for financial markets," said Boris Schlossberg, managing director of foreign exchange strategy at BK Asset Management. Schlossberg said the debate will not favor the candidate who has the best intellectual argument about policy, but the one who ends up being the best "gladiator."

"It depends on the intensity of the win or loss. I actually think they're going to fight to a standstill. … If he trips up badly, the dollar would rally. That would give the market something more certain. If she trips up badly, I think the dollar could really take a hit," he said.

Analysts say the worst outcome for markets Tuesday might actually be if the debate is a draw, leaving the close call election still a close call.

"The most likely outcome is inconclusive. Each of them have their own points they make and in the end, both of them come up damaged to some extent," said Jefferies money market economist Tom Simons. "I don't really see an outcome where one comes out cleaner than the other because they're both going for blood."

There has been some reaction across markets to the two candidates, but so far the broader U.S. stock market has not really traded in response. Biotech stocks have shown a negative correlation to Clinton's probabilities because of her attacks on drug pricing. For Trump, the Mexican peso  and stock market have both moved lower when he does well or calls out Mexico, due to his anti-immigration and anti-NAFTA policies.

Cardinal Capital Management's Patrick Kernan, who trades S&P 500 options at the CBOE, said he's noticed since the middle of last week a bigger move by investors to hedge for an increase in November volatility.

"Basically it would be November options [that] people are buying post-the-election and selling October. What it's saying is it feels like there's going to be a lot more volatility post the event," said Kernen. "It feels like they're concerned. It's the 'Oh gosh that can really happen!' trade."


On Monday, stocks fell with the S&P 500 losing 18.59 to 2,146. The dollar weakened and the dollar index was at 95.30 in late trading. Oil moved higher as oil nations meet at an energy conference in Algiers this week, and gold also gained.

"As we approach this first debate, and I look at the market, the market is a bit pensive. If it's perceived Trump wins the debate tonight you might see some support in the gold market, some buying in U.S. bonds and a stronger dollar, just because of the uncertainty," said Jim Wyckoff, senior analyst at Kitco. "It didn't matter last week, but this week it does."

But the views on what the dollar might do vary. Already, traders are talking up speculators moving into the yen to hedge against a Trump victory.

According to Brown Brothers Harriman chief currency strategist Marc Chandler, the anti-NAFTA sentiment has also weighed on the Canadian dollar.

"I do think there's a knee-jerk reaction. A Trump victory is bad for stocks, bad for the dollar. For the dollar, what happens after cooler heads prevail is a different story," he said.

Both candidates are expected to discuss infrastructure spending, and that would be perceived as positive for the economy and take pressure off the Federal Reserve to continue heavy doses of monetary policy. That could be a dollar positive.







=================
We can confirm that the markets have been quite nervous about the debate for some time. The last 2 days the market has been falling, and today is D day. We do not really care who wins, but TRUMP winning would be a bad thing for the stock market. So we will have to w

The S&P 500 has had two bad days in a row now, and we seem to be in a BEARISH FLAG type pattern, with things breaking down. There is a targets on the longer term line at about 2100 if this debate sends stocks crashing, and we have the last major highs, being lower than eachother. Maybe some sort of correct is due? Time will tell. This is quite interesting, have a look at the chart below. 

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Some strategists say Trump's tax policy could actually be better for the stock market because it lowers the corporate rate and companies with cash overseas would be given an opportunity to repatriate it. But the initial reaction is one of fear.

"If she wins, we'll get a rally (Tuesday)," said Ablin. He and others likened a Trump win on Election Day to be potentially similar to the response to the Brexit vote, when the U.K. opted to get out of the European Union last June.

"We could see a Brexit type of reaction — down dramatically, then kind of rebound back when people come to their senses and see he's not going to tear the whole place apart," said Ablin.

"Nothing really fundamental will change. Presidents don't take office to shut companies down and to get rid of their workers. Their job is to enhance the economy and grow," he said.

But one of the big worries about Trump is what's hitting the peso and the Canadian dollar — fears of a trade war starting with America's closest neighbors.

Besides the debate aftermath, markets Tuesday will have several economic reports. S&P Case-Shiller home prices are reported at 9 a.m. ET; market services PMI is at 9:45 a.m.; consumer confidence is at 10 a.m. Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer speaks at 11:15 a.m. at Howard University.  -    Source : Cnbc.

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is it time to get out of the stock market 2016 - now is it time to get out of the stock market 2016

is it time to get out of the stock market 2016

Stocks are at an all-time high but the ratio of total market cap to GDP (the Buffet valuation indicator) shows that the entire market is historically overvalued. Should we be worried about the stock market or is this a new era of market calm? Calm before the storm may be a more apt description. fortune lists six reasons we should be worried about the stock market today. The stock market has entered another golden era of supreme calm. Americans are expressing confidence that the big returns equities have long delivered will keep coming, and that the gains will flow smoothly. but if you’re relying on your equity portfolio to pay for your kids’ tuition and fund your retirement, which is pretty much everyone these days, it’s time to get real, and get worried. despite the extreme calm, this could be one of the most treacherous times to dump all your money into the stock market. The main problem according to fortune is over confidence and ignoring the warning signs. Their six reasons to worry about the market are these. really high stock prices together with a s&p 500 pe ratio of 25.5 profits that exceed growth and are unsustainable low interest rates with no room to go lower populist political climate clamoring for more benefits to workers and higher taxes rise of the ultra-right, especially in europe which could lead to political, social and economic chaos low oil prices, market glut and potential for total price collapse leading to a world-wide credit crisis When everyone has decided to get into the market and that prices will go up forever is typically when smart investors hedge their bets or just get out and hold cash. How about Interest Rates and Bank Stocks? The Fed appears poised to inch up on interest rates and bank shares went up. If banks do better with higher rates isn’t this a reason not to be worried about the stock market? The los angeles times writes about bank shares and higher interest rates. banks led the stock market higher monday as investors anticipate that the federal reserve could raise interest rates this year from their historically low levels. that could help banks recover from a long slump by making lending more profitable. But just how high and how fast will rates rise? Our sister site, forex conspiracy report asked where will interest rates be in 10 years? the fed will raise rates as the economy warrants. according to recently published research rates will not go up very fast for quite a while. the fed is heading for a shallow rate path for the next decade and research indicates that ten years from now rates will be one percent higher. the current consensus of fed authorities is 1.5% and there is always the possibility of negative rates if recession re-emerges and the fed needs to reduce rates into minus territory. So, should we be worried about the stock market? It always makes sense to retain a bit of skepticism when seem too good to be true they probably are just that.

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secret to stock market success - the secret to stock market success

secret to stock market success

Sentiment Trader has been watching the TAL, and we started this group because many traders were sick of losing money! Is this you?, do you continually pick the market wrong, and the wrong stocks, and equities!? It really feels bad and is stressful to lose money isn't it?? Not only that, but you seem to pick the wrong stocks, at precisely the wrong time!? is this you? Do you feel like the stock market is out to just get you, every time you sit behind your machine? Want to know the secret to stock market success?

Before you Answer that...... Read below.... 


The great thing about our VIP membership is you get to see stocks, that we spend hours each week, selecting only the cream of the crop!!!. So you are getting nothing but the best analysis of our team of 10 gurus. 

 So far The when we look back, we warned our members about XRS chart many months ago, fast forward to today and its almost doubled in price!! What if you bought into this back in march, you would have doubled your money!!! And these sorts of profits pay for our membeship, so that is why, you cannot afford NOT to be in our VIP group!!!  Just look at this chart.....and results....WOW{Chart below}!

We are telling our VIP MEMBERS TO ???????????????????????

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Yellen wants to get back in the rate hiking game

Yellen wants to get back in the rate hiking game

The Federal Reserve is more likely to warn markets a rate hike is coming than take any action at its two-day meeting. But Fed Chair Janet Yellen, based on her recent remarks at the Fed's Jackson Hole conference, clearly wants to get back in the game. The Fed's post-meeting statement could indicate that the Fed is close to a rate hike, but without specific timing. That could still be construed as hawkish, from a central bank that has been frustrated by global events and now weakish U.S. economic data. The Fed releases its statement and new projections for interest rates and the economy at 2 p.m. Fed Chair Janet Yellen will then brief the media at 2:30 p.m. EDT. Market odds of a rate hike for the September meeting were just about 20 percent Tuesday, and close to 60 percent for December. The Bank of Japan was also meeting and it was expected to have been more impactful for markets than the Fed. "The Fed isn't one to be brave in this cycle," said Bank of the West chief economist Scott Anderson. He does not expect the Fed to raise rates for just the second time in 10 years with the market so off sides. "I think they'd create a pretty big tank in the stock market. I think the Fed's going to want to telegraph this pretty strongly. They might put the market on notice that this should be penciled in," he said. Ninety percent of the respondents in the latest CNBC Fed survey expect the central bank to stay on hold at this week's meeting. Most economists expect the Fed to hold off on a rate hike until December. The CNBC survey also found that 31 percent believe the Fed will not hike because of global growth concerns, and 22 percent say it is because the markets are unprepared. But 25 percent see other reasons, which include softer and inconsistent U.S. data. Only 11 percent expect the election to keep the Fed sidelined. According to the survey, 66 percent believe the Fed pays too much attention to market reactions and 58 percent said it focuses too much on high frequency data, like the monthly jobs report or latest inflation data. Chris Rupkey, chief financial economist at MUFG Union Bank, said his recommendation is that the Fed hike now, even with softer August data. The August employment report showed just 151,000 jobs created, 30,000 fewer than expected, and retail sales were disappointing. "I think people are hiding behind the fact that futures markets have 20 percent odds of a move, and the Fed would not go against that, but my reading is that's not relevant in this case because the market's never going to give them a green light. The longer the Fed goes on, the market is going to do what it does," said Rupkey. Fed officials shook up the markets in late August when Yellen and two of her inner circle — Vice Chair Stanley Fischer and New York Fed President William Dudley — said a rate hike is possible in September. Two Fed governors, Daniel Tarullo and Lael Brainard, within days swayed markets the other way, saying the Fed could be patient about hiking rates. But since then much of the August data has come in softer than expected. ISM manufacturing activity actually contracted and ISM services growth is slowing dramatically. While it's unclear whether the economy has just hit a temporary soft patch, economists still see better growth in the second half of the year. For that reason, some believe the Fed could signal a "hawkish hold" while sounding more confident on the economy. Fed officials are also likely to alter their interest rate outlook. If there is no hike, the outlook for rates this year could fall to one rate hike, from the current two. Fed officials could also tweak forecasts for 2017 and 2018, which now have projections for four rate hikes each. "I think the Fed has to get over its fear of what the markets are going to do. It should certainly get over any fear of unleashing a new taper tantrum," said Rupkey, referring to a market sell-off when the Fed stepped back from an easing program. "The market itself is not right now, and it probably needs a wake-up call by the Fed." Anderson said he is watching the Fed's so-called dot plot, or rate forecast chart for changes, and also its inflation forecast. He expects Yellen's comments at the press conference to be perhaps even more important. "She certainly signaled the case for a rate hike has strengthened. Let's see if she stays with that," he said. "Stocks will be in celebration mode if the Fed holds off. I do think valuations are stretched though, and we're in a hair-trigger environment. If we get some surprise from the Fed … that could throw the market into a tizzy." But Anderson expects the Fed to emerge from the meeting building a case that it's closer to a rate hike, without specifics. "They've been burned so many times," he said. "They're going to be very cautious about burning their last remaining amount of credibility. They'll be humble in terms of their economic and rate forecasts, given they've been so wrong."

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Before the fed - some charts

before the fed

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Before the FED - Charts

before the fed

Before the fed

So there is going to be alot of nerves ahead of the fed this week. That is going to be a good environment to make some money in. Although the bad news is normally before the fed announcement, the market goes sideways, for a few days. So do not expect fireworks until WED afternoon.

The top traders on wall street think they will HOLD rates, but we have to remember that whenever WALL st is unsure and confused, that tends to rattle a few people, and its normally not good news. There are alot of novice investors placing bets ahead of the fed and will get their accounts blasted, where as we will wait a bit and see how these charts develop.

ON TO THE CHARTS....

Looking at the Nasdaq chart below you can see that we have recovered fully from the sell off a few weeks ago! However lets not be the judge of that with the FED announcement coming in a few days. Right now you can see the we are in the midst of a channel, and we are on the underside edge of that at 4802. It feels like a bigger move is setting up here, but the BULLS and the BEARS are tussling it out, and right now no one is winning!!!,  IF the channel is just a big BEAR FLAG setting up we could be back to the lows in a matter of days!  However I do not want to jump the gun just yet.  

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stock market investment strategies - stock market investment strategies

stock market investment strategies

New investors taking their first steps towards learning the basics of stock trading should have access to multiple sources of quality education. Just like riding a bike, trial and error coupled with the ability to keep pressing forth will eventually lead to success. One great advantage of stock trading lies in the fact that the game itself lasts a lifetime. Investors have years to develop and hone their skills. Strategies used twenty years ago are still utilized today. The game is always in full force. So for new investors wanting to take their first steps, I offer 10 great answers to the simple question, “How do I get started?” 1. Open a stock broker account
Find a good online stock broker and open an account. Become familiarized with the layout and to take advantage of the free trading tools and research offered to clients only. Some brokers offer virtual trading which is beneficial because you can trade with play money (see #9 below). A great tool for comparing online brokers can be found at StockBrokers.com. 2. Read books
Books provide a wealth of information and are inexpensive compared to the costs of classes, seminars, and educational DVDs sold across the web. Here on the site we have a full list of 20 great stock trading books for investors to consider. My personal all-time favorite is How to Make Money in Stocks by William O’Neil, founder of CANSLIM Trading which is pictured below.

You could also join a membership site and get discount books like in our VIP MEMBERSHIP CLICK here!
3. Read articles
Articles are a fantastic resource for education. Our free Stock Education page here on StockTrader.com lists over 100 unique investment articles broken down into categories. Recommended websites for investment education are investopedia.com and of course Google search. 4. Find a mentor
A mentor could be a family member, a friend, a past or current professor, co-worker, or any individual that has a fundamental understanding of the stock market. A good mentor is willing to answer questions, provide help, recommend useful resources, and keep spirits up when the market gets tough. All successful investors of the past and present have had mentors during their early days. Forums can be another source for question and answer. Two recommendations include Elite Trader and Trade2Win. Just be careful of who you listen to. The vast majority of participants are not professional traders, let alone profitable traders. Heed advice from forums with a heavy dose of salt and do not, under any circumstance, follow trade recommendations. 5. Study the greats
Learning about the greatest investors of years past will provide perspective, inspiration, and appreciation for the game which is the stock market. Greats include Warren Buffett, Jesse Livermore, George Soros, Benjamin Graham, Peter Lynch, John Templeton and Paul Tudor Jones, among others. One of my favorite book series is the Market Wizards by Jack Schwager. 245px-Jesse_Livermore 6. Read and follow the market
News sites such as Yahoo Finance and Google Finance serve as a great resource for new investors. For in depth coverage, look no further than the Wall Street Journal and Bloomberg. By monitoring the markets each day and reading headline stories investors can expose themselves to trends, 3rd party analysis, not to mention economic concepts and general business. Pulling quotes and observing fundamental data can also serve as another good source of exposure. TV is another way to monitor the market each day with CNBC being the most popular channel. Even turning on CNBC for 15 minutes a day will broaden an investor’s knowledge base. Don’t let the lingo or the style of news be a nuisance, just simply watch and allow the commentators, interviews, and discussions to soak in. Beware though, over time you may find that a lot of the investing shows on TV are more of a distraction and are overall full of junk recommendations. This is a natural evolution; you are not alone! cnbc-squawkbox 7. Consider paid subscriptions
Paying for research and analysis can be both educational and useful. Some investors may find watching or observing market professionals to be more beneficial than trying to apply newly learned lessons themselves. There are a slew of paid subscription sites available across the web, the key is in finding the right ones for you. View a list of the services I use use myself. Two well-respected services include Investors.com and Morningstar. IMPORTANT – Be careful. Many paid subscriptions come from independent traders and services that claim to have fantastic returns and can “teach” you how to be successful. 99% of them are a scam and come with higher prices of $99 – $149 per month, or more. See, 10 Things I Wish I Knew About Trading Before I Got Started. 8. Go to seminars, take classes
Seminars can provide valuable insight into the overall market and specific investment types. Most seminars will focus on one specific aspect of the market and how the speaker has found success utilizing their own strategies over the years. Examples include Dan Zanger and Mark Minervini. Not all seminars have be paid for either. Some seminars are provided free which can be a beneficial experience, just be conscious of the sales pitch that will almost always come at the end. When it comes to classes, these are typically pricey, but like seminars, can also be very beneficial. Will O’Neil workshps, Investools, Online Trading Academy, and Bulls On Wall Street provide a variety of courses on investing and trading. IMPORTANT – Like paid subscriptions, be careful with classes and courses. Most are easily over $1,000 and are sold with false promises to acquiring valuable knowledge. Their fantastic sales funnels will suck you in, take your money, excite you during the course, then leave you with a strategy that wasn’t even profitable to begin with. See, 10 Things I Wish I Knew About Trading Before I Got Started. Dan-Zanger-Seminar-2012 9. Buy your first stock or practice trading through a simulator
With your online broker account setup, the best way to get started it to simply take the plunge and make your first trade. Don’t be afraid to start small, even 1, 10, or 20 shares will serve its purpose of getting you in the game. If trading with real capital is not possible initially, consider using a stock simulator for virtual trading. A variety of online brokers offer virtual trading for practicing. One of the most common mistakes traders make is to go all-in and try to score big with a full portfolio position out of the gate. This is an often painful mistake and why many new investors suffer big losses early on. Proper portfolio allocation is extremely important. For more tips of wisdom, see my article, 60 Stock Tips for Investment Success. 10. Passive Index and follow Warren Buffett For the majority, trading will be losing proposition. Warren Buffett, the greatest investor of all-time, recommends individual investors simply passive index instead of trying to beat the market trading on their own. Interested to see what stocks Warren Buffett recommends for your portfolio? Check out our guide, How to Build a Warren Buffett Portfolio.

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next stock market crash 2016 - next stock market crash 2016

next stock market crash 2016

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next stock market crash 2016

next stock market crash 2016

next stock market crash 2016

next stock market crash 2016.. Is it here???

U.S. stocks closed mostly lower on Wednesday, with energy weighing, as oil prices fell sharply despite bullish inventories data.

"I think the market is trying to process the big question that we all have, and no, it's not the Fed," said Kim Forrest, senior equity analyst at Fort Pitt Capital. "The big question is: Is the economy getting better? We don't know."

The Dow Jones industrial average closed about 30 points lower, erasing earlier gains, with IBM contributing the most losses. At session highs, the Dow had risen 96.73 points. The S&P 500 fell less than 0.1 percent, as energy dropped more than 1 percent.

"Obviously, the market doesn't like uncertainty on any level," said Leslie Thompson, managing principal at Spectrum Management Group. "I think it's going to be hard for the market to move higher in the near term against this backdrop."

Stocks hit session highs after the Energy Information Administration said U.S. oil inventories fell by about 600,000 barrels last week, also sending oil into positive territory for a moment. Oil failed to hold those gains, as WTI settled 2.94 percent lower, at $43.58 per barrel.

Wednesday gains in stocks came a day after a broad-based sell-off in which equities, bonds, oil and gold all fell. "That's very typical of the beginning of a correction. As investors start realizing this is the real thing, you'll see more money flowing into traditional safe havens," said Chuck Self, CIO at iSectors. "Today could be a pause."

"Today's quiet economic calendar should help alleviate some of this latest bout of skittishness," said Jeremy Klein, chief market strategist at FBN Securities. "Portfolio managers will largely wait until the Fed announces its next rate decision before adjusting their exposure thereby giving short term market participants a clear playing field to operate in the interim. Prior to Janet Yellen's decision, I do not expect that the current pullback will spin out of control and transform itself into an official correction."

The Federal Reserve entered a quiet period on Tuesday, a day after several of the central bank's officials delivered dovish remarks. The three major indexes fell sharply Tuesday, as concerns over the Fed's monetary policy meeting and a 3 percent drop in oil prices weighed.

The U.S. central bank is scheduled to meet next week and deliver its latest decision on monetary policy. Market expectations for a September rate hike were 15 percent on Wednesday, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool.



Looking at the TOF chart below , smart money is not buying here, and infact getting rid of dead weight stock. The last few days to us, look a bit worrying, but we will alert our premium members later tonight. CLICK the VIP members tab for more. 

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Another element concerning investors is the U.S. presidential election. "The election is finally close enough to be a worry," said Randy Warren, CIO at Warren Financial. "[Donald] Trump is making things close and that's threatening the assumption within the market that Hillary [Clinton] will win."

According to data from RealClearPolitics, Clinton's lead over Trump has narrowed considerably since August. "Investors are very unconvinced about the direction of the market and are hesitating in placing their bets. This is reflected in the market today while there is also anxiety about Trump leading in the poll," said Naeem Aslam, chief market analyst at Think Markets.

In corporate news, German drug and crops chemicals firm Bayer agreed to buy Monsanto for $66 billion, or $128 per share. Monsanto's stock was up about 0.62 percent. "Some of these larger mergers are under a lot of scrutinee as to whether they go through," Spectrum's Thompson said.

Meanwhile, U.S. Treasurys rose after a large sell-off on Tuesday, with the two-year note yield near 0.75 percent and the 10-year note yield around 1.69 percent.

"If long rates have reached a major inflection point over the past month as I think they have, buying on any stock market dip becomes more fraught with risk I believe," said Peter Boockvar, chief market analyst at The Lindsey Group.

The U.S. dollar fell against a basket of currencies, with the euro near $1.125 and the yen around 102.3.  -    Source : Cnbc.

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5 Penny Stock Trading Tips for Beginners

5 Penny Stock Trading Tips for Beginners If you are new to the world of penny stock trading this just may be the best article you will ever read. In it you will discover 5 tips that will help you cut your learning time in half and minimize any potential losses. Here are 5 penny stock trading tips every beginner should keep in mind. #1 – Invest In Your Education The more you know about penny stock trading the further you will go. That's why Investing in your education should be your number one priority. Find people who have been successful in this arena and learn as much as you can from them. Keep in mind only about 10% of penny stock traders are making a consistent profit. You should therefore choose your teacher very carefully. Look for someone who is transparent and open about what they are doing. #2 – Don't Believe Everything You Hear Penny stock promoters will say just about anything if it gets you to invest in their product. Just know that most of them are full of you know what. Never believe everything you hear. Do your own research and make sure you understand the realities of penny stock trading before you dive in. #3 – Don't Chase The Big Wins Penny stock promoters love to tell you how quickly you can grow your money. And while it is possible to double or even triple your money on a single play, chasing big win after big win is not a profitable strategy. Focus on making $0.50-$0.75 a share and you will eventually find yourself making decent money on a daily basis. #4 – Respect The Risk Penny stocks are extremely volatile. A stock can be riding high one minute and in the tank the next. Things can literally change in the blink of an eye when you are trading penny stocks. That's why it is so important you respect the risk. Take your profits and losses quickly and never commit too much of your portfolio to a single play. #5 – Track Your Moves In A Trading Journal As a beginner tracking your moves in a journal just may be one of the smartest things you ever do. Being able to refer back to various trades can help you constantly improve as a trader. The most successful penny stock traders are very methodical in their approach. They never trade on a whim. If your goal is to be successful you need to do what they do and track all of your moves in a trading journal.

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Wall Street Week Ahead: Sleepy summer may give way to freaky fall

Wall Street Week Ahead: Sleepy summer may give way to freaky fall

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Wall Street Week Ahead: Sleepy summer may give way to freaky fall

Investors watching A Slow Slothy Market 

Wall Street Week Ahead: Sleepy summer may give way to freaky fall

Wall Street Week Ahead: Sleepy summer may give way to freaky fall... Is this true?

The dog days of summer have lived up to their sleepy reputation this year as far as U.S. stocks are concerned, but market gyrations could soon pick up as a traditionally more volatile time of year looms.

The S&P 500 index's 1-month realized volatility, a measure of market choppiness over the past 30 days, is stuck near all-time lows, according to Thomson Reuters data. Even the early-summer jolt from the surprise Brexit vote proved short-lived, and the S&P has not seen a 1-percent price move, up or down, on any day since early July.

Yet all that could change quickly given the abundance of catalysts that can rattle markets in the weeks ahead, market watchers said.

"If you look at September on average, it's a bad month," said Brad McMillan, Chief Investment Officer for Commonwealth Financial Network.

September ranks as the worst month for stocks, according to the Stock Traders Almanac, producing an average price return for the S&P 500 of negative 0.5 percent. Its reputation has grown more ominous since the financial crisis, because it was the month when Lehman Brothers went under in 2008, nearly taking the U.S. financial system down with it.

"There is a real good chance that the low volatility that we have seen in August hasn't just disappeared, it's just been storing up for September," he said.

While the holiday-shortened week itself is light on U.S. economic data, there is no dearth of trigger events in the near-term that could rile markets.

The possibility of a U.S. interest rate hike at the Federal Open Market Committee's September meeting, stretched stock market valuations, volatile oil prices, the fallout from Britain's decision to exit the European Union, and political risks linked to the U.S. presidential election are just some of the factors that could upset the volatility cart, analysts said.

"August, September and October, this is the wrong time of the year historically to get really aggressive, particularly given all these uncertainties on the horizon," said Phil Orlando, chief equity market strategist at Federated Investors in New York.

"If two or three of these go wrong … given stretched valuation levels, we could very easily see a little bit of a pullback."

Stock market valuations are stretched – the forward price-to-earnings ratio of the S&P is currently above 17, compared with its long-term average of about 15 - leaving the market susceptible to a negative shock.

The Fed's policy meeting on September 20-21 is by far the biggest near-term risk to stock market calm as investors continue to struggle to determine the path of interest rate hikes by the central bank.

While U.S. employment growth slowed more than expected in August, hurting the case for a interest rate hike this month, the data is not weak enough to push a September rate hike completely off the table. "Any bad news could be an excuse to reduce positions and take a little bit of money off the table," Mark Watkins, regional investment strategist at the Private Client Reserve at U.S. Bank, said.

Investors will be dealing with a relatively light week on the economic front, with reports on the services sector likely to be the highlight.

The U.S. Presidential election is another factor that could stir up volatility as Election Day nears.

Looking at the chart, there are investors on blogs and forums all around the internet, who are hating this market. Its like a slow sloth bathing in the sun. Basically from our stand point, we have been in an annoying range, and the professionals have not been very active at all. A 30 point range on the market is not really going to help anyone really. But we are fast approaching months, that are well known to be fast, volatile and whippy. i.e. SEPT - NOV. Time will tell, and we will have to wait and see what we get. However we have seen periods of sideways before, which often lead to bigger faster moves, and you will have to be ready when that occur. Stand at the ready!!! 

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"Wall Street starts taking the elections seriously on Tuesday," said JJ Kinahan, chief market strategist at TD Ameritrade in Chicago.

"For the press, they've been great fodder for the fact that TV has to report twenty-four hours a day. But in general, Wall Street hasn’t taken it seriously yet, so we all get down to business next week.

The first presidential debate on Sept. 26 could help shed light on both candidates' policies.

"With everyone on one side of the boat, pricing a Hillary presidency, if suddenly something should happen such that people think that maybe Trump has a chance, that certainly increases volatility," Orlando said.

That could be one of those things that triggers near-term a hiccup in the markets.  -    Source : Cnbc.

 I cover more and more technical analysis ==> HERE in our VIP members section.

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How You Can Prepare For The Next Stock Crash

How You Can Prepare For The Next Stock Crash – 4 Things You Can Do Right Now

Chances are you are here because you are concerned about the future of your financial assets. Or maybe you are just full of anxiety over the direction in which society is moving. Either way you are not alone. Millions of people all over the world are highly concerned about the financial crisis that seems to be taking place all over the world.

If you are wondering how you can prepare for the next stock crash, keep reading as you will discover 4 simple things you can do right now to prepare for what's coming in the very near future.

#1 – Get Out Of Debt

When a stock market crash hits, those with the least amount of debt will be affected the least. Now is the time to get control of your debt. Pay off your credit cards and any other debts you have.

#2 – Protect Yourself

If you are retired chances are you don't have enough income to weather the storm in the event of a stock market crash. To avoid having to sell stocks and lose money, make sure you have enough money in short term investments to cover all of your living expenses for 2 to 3 years. To make this happen you may need to look at your investment portfolio and see what positions you can start trimming right now.

#3 – Rebalance Your Portfolio

If you are like most investors you haven't touched or even looked at your portfolio in years. When the stock market has crashed in the past, those who didn't take the time to rebalance their portfolios suffered very significant losses. This is because their exposure to stocks was a lot higher than they realized.

Rebalancing your portfolio ever year or two can help you avoid significant losses in the event of a stock market crash.

#4 – Make A Wish List

When the stock market crashes everything goes on sale. That means it is the perfect time to buy stocks. If you have your wish list prepared in advance you can cash in big time when the market crashes.

For some investors putting more money into stocks they already own may be enough. For others a stock market crash is the best time to buy up stocks that were previously too expensive. No matter which option you choose, having a wish list prepared in advance will help you take advantage of growth opportunities that come along with a stock market crash.

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After soft US jobs data, Fed likely to hold fire on interest rates: Strategist

After soft US jobs data, Fed likely to hold fire on interest rates: Strategist

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After soft US jobs data, Fed likely to hold fire on interest rates: Strategist

One top strategist says the Fed has already told Wall Street what's coming next.

After soft US jobs data, Fed likely to hold fire on interest rates: Strategist

On the heels of an August jobs report that was strong but my no means a grand slam, one top strategist believes investors can easily determine what's to come from the Federal Reserve this year.

The August jobs report showed that the U.S. added 151,000 jobs, fewer than most Wall Street economists were expecting, while the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.9 percent. With that in mind, Dwyer believes that investors can operate under the notion that the Fed will not make a move in 2016.
"They told you it's going to be a fat pitch down the middle. Are you going to take the strike or hit a homer?" asked Tony Dwyer on CNBC's "Fast Money" this week.

Markets are fixated on when the Fed will begin withdrawing some of its crisis-era stimulus, with interest rates at rock-bottom levels. Conventional wisdom suggested the central bank could hikeas early as Septemberafter months of delay and speculation, but Dwyer thinks differently.

"I don't think they'll hike in September," explained Canaccord Genuity's chief market strategist. "The economic cycle is not about duration. The economic cycle is driven by Fed policy, short-term interest rates, which create strength in the long-end of the curve."

Short term pullback?

Often referred to as one of Wall Street's biggest bulls, Dwyer added that the potential for near-term weakness could provide investors with buying opportunities down the road.

However, Dwyer told CNBC the market's upward bias hasn't changed, despite fear having gripped investors after the U.K.'s Brexit vote. At least for now fundamentals are still supportive of a rally.
"Corrections are natural, normal and healthy until they actually happen," explained Dwyer, who went neutral on stocks six weeks ago and is now waiting for a period of consolidation to take effect.

"You just don't want to sell a market. You can get less aggressive, but it's hard to get aggressive on weakness if you're already aggressive," he added. "Credit is available and, as long as that is the case, you're going to have buy-backs and M&A."

Looking ahead to next year, Dwyer's firm's target price for the S&P 500 Index is 2,340. To get there, Dwyer cited several key factors to trigger the short-term pullback he's expecting.

That includes the VIX, otherwise known as the fear index, hitting 20. Following the August jobs report, the index dropped to 11.93, its lowest level in nearly two weeks.

"In 2013, [there was] historically low volatility in the very low teens as the VIX had been down for a very long time," explained Dwyer. "Everybody was thinking 'you're going to have to have a spike in volatility, which is bad for stocks."

Now, Dwyer is looking for a comparable road map of a rising VIX to bring stocks down before an eventual breakout. From there, when the Fed eventually hikes interest rates, he feels traders will have ample time to plan and react.


Looking at the VIX chart, you can see we are down at the lower support end of the VIX. These are levels, seen as rare and low. And usually they rally from here. So keep that in mind! The last few times we are down this low we usually rally extensively. But we will keep our members alerted. 

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"If the Fed goes to 2 percent, and in the long-end stays at 1.5, you've inverted the curve," concluded Dywer. An inverted yield curve, in which rates yield more in the short term than the longer-term, is widely considered to be a signal for an economic pullback.

"When the Fed starts to raise rates, it takes an average of 21 months to invert the curve," he said. "Once you invest the curve, the mean inversion is fifteen months, so you have three years from when the Fed starts to raise rates until you actually go into a recession."  -    Source : Cnbc.

 I cover more and more technical analysis ==> HERE in our VIP members section.

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