Web Statistics The Sentiment Trader
Showing posts with label market correction. Show all posts
Showing posts with label market correction. Show all posts

Friday, 5 April 2013

Spx update - spx weekly update


spx weekly update

The market sold off into the weekend with talks about North Korea on the verge of war and the spillover from the Cyrus crisis.

Unemployment still remains a big problem and the market did not like that at all, and we still have a gloomy outlook. However when we take a look at the chart below, we can see the market even through the bashing, and bad news has remain pretty buoyant. Perhaps people are jumping to conclusions too soon, and we do not have a big reason to panic just yet.

It is clear the market is totally dislocated away from any bad news at the moment as a whole. There have been a few blips and blops along the way, however the market still has strength attached to its name.

spx weekly update
spx weekly update


As you can see, we are still in a major bullish uptrend, and things are not looking too bad in the bigger picture. A few months back we even included the bull / bear ratio chart that convinced us we are still in a bull market. When you take a look at this chart you can see why.

This week was not good for the market, that is for sure. Further more it could even be the start of a much larger correction as we have been hinting. But for now the leader of the market the dow jones transportation average still remains above critical support and above the major averages.

It would be wise to monitor these support levels in the coming weeks, as a breach of these levels would not bode well for the markets.  But until that happens there is no real reason to throw hands up in the air and panic.


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Wednesday, 27 March 2013

USD chart - Pennant Pattern

USD chart - Pennant Pattern

Since the start of March 2013 the USD has not really done much at all. However now we are at the end of market, you can see that both the buyers and sellers have been squeezed and this is now a pennant pattern.

Eventually this will have to breakout to the upside or down below on the downside.

The rules with pennants state they will break the direction of the price action that precedes them. So in this case, it is most likely the USD price will break to the upside, past 23 and head higher.

pennant pattern
pennant pattern


If this is indeed a pennant and the USD is inside a pennant as drawn above, the USD should rise, and the market will come into trouble. Right now things are still in limbo no doubt. 

The only downdraw to all this, is that pennants can last for days, weeks or months, however this pennant looks to be a good one, and we will continue to monitor the currency market after the EASTER break.



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