Crude sending a warning sign for the markets

SENTIMENT TRADER - FREE DAILY HOT ALERTS [CLICK HERE]

Crude sending a warning sign for the markets?  

"Crude sending a warning sign for the markets?  " 

in the news Crude sending a warning sign for the markets?  ? What this all about..... See below. 

------------------------------

Sentiment Trader shows a very interesting chart today. 

Crude sending a warning sign for the markets?  Right now we have seen the last few days very bad for crude. But is the crude sell off a warning sign for the rest of the market. 

We have news about trump who is being blamed for lower crude, but when has the blame game ended. Never!

saudi increasing supply, back track on what they said 4 weeks, ago and next week we have the meetings in SAUDI, so crude and rising crude is going to be the topic.  

Right now one can make the argument, energy too small help the market go higher, so that is why you should watch it independent of other charts. 

Going into OPEC meetings 22nd june, brent above 60 usd, would be a positive situation. 

Late last week, you had friday phenomenon ahead of long weekend, we are not too concerned about this move. 

CLICK HERE - To Get Our Daily Charts & VIP Updates

The chart still seems to be in a major uptrend, if you ask us. We might see more selling early this week, but overall the trend that has been intact since FEB this year, has not been broken, so for now that is positive in our eyes. 

DON'T MISS OUT ON OUR HOTTEST updates Click the link below....

SENTIMENT TRADER - FREE DAILY HOT ALERTS [CLICK HERE]

september stock market analysis - september stock market analysis

SENTIMENT TRADER - FREE DAILY HOT ALERTS [CLICK HERE]

september stock market analysis - september stock market analysis

"september stock market analysis - september stock market analysis" 

in the news september stock market analysis - september stock market analysis? What this all about..... See below. 

------------------------------

Sentiment Trader show a very interesting chart today, just like in VIP members here  <= saw.  The healthiness of this rally is due to the fact that sustained areas of near these highs is because of the healthy rotation of sector to sector to sector. So there is a really very reliable chart that our members can look at, that is very very valuable here. This chart is one of the ones that everyone needs to see that will blow you mind! This shows we have never had a full year on the stock market, when the S&P 500 has had such a small draw down as we have had in 2017. Have a look at the chart below.....

All the way to the right side in orange. That is how small the max draw downs this year in 2017. A little bit more than 3%, and if it finishes the year this way, it will be the smallest ever seen since the year 1914. Wow! Some very good stats too look at. 

What is even more interesting is that people will point at this chart and say we have to get a mean reversion and we have to see a large correction soon. Sure! I can see that side of the argument. And sooner or later the volatility has to show up, and sure this is very bizarre and abnormal. But just because we get to these extreme readings, that does not mean you have to take everything off and we are bound to see a HUGE crash or correction. So its important to keep that in mind. The world does not work that way!!!

So I would not take this as a signal that we are about to see devastation coming to the market in the next month or leading into Xmas. Sure we can see dips, and blips coming our way, but what this is saying its been an incredible year for stocks, and profits, and for each and everyone of us to be careful going forward. 

We think September going forward is going to be a proxy for the entire year. When you think about all the challenges we have had this year, coming into September it has not caused us to dip or crash like some out there have been saying. There is a lot of resilience with the market here. Here is the chart of the MAX draw downs we have seen this year. Its very tiny. 

 This is quite interesting. 

CLICK HERE - To Get Our Daily Charts & VIP Updates

Our Members here => VIP members here  Have noticed One other factor that we should remember which is, when the year started, we had a very surprising election result. And there were many investors who were concerned about what was on the horizon, and with trump in office, they thought that would be a very bad thing, and they took money off the table. 

Although there is a lot of bearishness out there, there is the Russell up 5%, there is the banks up 3% and energy up 8%. And on and on it goes. 

One other factor that we should remember is, when the year started, it become up a very surprising election result. And there were many investors who were concerned about what was on the horizon, and with trump in office, they thought that would be a very bad thing, and taken money off the table. So through the course of this year, we have had good quarter after good quarter and decent earnings as well. People who have not been fully invested have had to put some money back in the market the last few months, and again this week, because they do not want to be left behind. 

Does this chart we put up [see above] make us here at sentiment trader nervous? well, sure! It does! Everyday makes us nervous going forward. For the market to remain resilient in the face of negative headline after negative headline that could have caused a bigger type of correction. Also as you read this we have gone 455 days without a meaningful 5% correction. That has not happened for about 50 years or so. So sure it makes us nervous, but there is not reason to panic. 

Does that mean the next quarter and earnings are going to drop the ball and fall off the table. Well, we do not think that is going to be the case. 

DON'T MISS OUT ON OUR HOTTEST updates Click the link below....

SENTIMENT TRADER - FREE DAILY HOT ALERTS [CLICK HERE]

Why investors are turning to Asia - Why investors are turning to Asia

SENTIMENT TRADER - FREE DAILY HOT ALERTS [CLICK HERE]

Why investors are turning to Asia

"Why investors are turning to Asia" 

in the news Why investors are turning to Asia? What this all about..... See below. 

------------------------------

Sentiment Trader can see, that Growth is picking up in Asia, where equities are cheaper compared to the U.S.

We have had 12 great weeks on the market with many leading assets rising, and that has partly to do with very low levels of volatility globally. And when volatility is low, asia trades with benefits.  There is strong trade growth in asia with treasuries remaining sideways, plus the fact that every time TRUMP has a spart few minutes, he decides to start tweeting negatively about china and asia. So this is actually not hurting them, its only helping them get more exposure. 

Also with the fantastic run in the US, asia is comparatively cheaper, to the US stock markets. And of course growth is picking up in many of the leading assets too.  

There were two arguments coming into the start of the year, were high treasury yields, and the other one being the positive growth in Asia, because there is an ideology that Asia is usually seen as a laggard in terms of the US or European economies. But given the developments this year, growth in Asia has as surprising upside, both in macro and in the earnings space. So we saw that there are charts reflecting that, and here is one.....

CHECK OUT THE CHART BELOW, it seems to be in a steady up trending channel right now.....

CLICK HERE - To Get Our Daily Charts & VIP Updates

Given that the markets are still sitting nicely, where is the most interest in Asia right now? That we think is the most important question.  Well there is still lots of growth in the emerging space or MSCI china. Those are hot on the lips of some bigger traders right  now and we thought we would pass on this information.  
DON'T MISS OUT ON OUR HOTTEST updates Click the link below....

SENTIMENT TRADER - FREE DAILY HOT ALERTS [CLICK HERE]

the financial sector - financial sector analysis

SENTIMENT TRADER - FREE DAILY HOT ALERTS [CLICK HERE]

the financial sector - financial sector analysis

"the financial sector - financial sector analysis" 

in the news the financial sector - financial sector analysis? What this all about..... See below. 

------------------------------

Sentiment Trader can see A domino effect from the bond market could lead to a correction in stocks. We will see.... There are no guarantees with this stuff. 

U.S. Treasury yields are hovering near one-month lows and a significant move lower may trigger a correction in equities. First there is an important chart. 

Sectors like financials could be threatened, adding the best-performing groups of the year "will top out at some point, and leave the broader S&P 500 Index vulnerable to a more material correction later this year.

The reflation trade centers around stocks that benefit from higher inflation and yields, including financials. Investors and traders have been betting that inflation will rise under Donald Trump's presidency as he moves to enact an agenda that includes lower corporate taxes and infrastructure spending.

The Financials Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF (XLF), which tracks the S&P financials sector, has been a stalwart since Trump's victory, rising more than 17 percent since Nov. 8. However you can see that the Chart is starting to depict a head and shoulders pattern, and which is seen in the books of the best technical analysts as not being a particularly strong chart pattern going forward. So it could be a bit of a warning sign shorter term.  

CLICK HERE - To Get Our Daily Charts & VIP Updates

But the reflation trade has been under siege lately because of the decline in rates. The benchmark 10-year note yield has fallen from about 2.41 percent to 2.24 percent since May 10 and hit a one-month low on Wednesday. Financials, meanwhile, suffered their worst day since June 24 earlier this week on the back of the U.S. stock market's worst session of 2017.

Stocks fell sharply on Wednesday on news that former FBI Director James Comey put together a memo outlining a conversation in which Trump asked him to halt an investigation into Michael Flynn's ties with Russian officials. Flynn is Trump's former national security adviser.

Hunter noted that if yields fall, sectors like financials could be threatened, adding the best-performing groups of the year, technology and consumer discretionary, "will top out at some point, and leave the broader S&P 500 Index vulnerable to a more material correction later this year."

One could adopt a much more defensive bias if the market internals do not improve in the weeks ahead, the leadership groups start to form bearish momentum divergence patterns, and we are looking at certain levels as the market target zone this summer."

DON'T MISS OUT ON OUR HOTTEST updates Click the link below....

SENTIMENT TRADER - FREE DAILY HOT ALERTS [CLICK HERE]

s p 500 history chart - s&p 500 returns chart

SENTIMENT TRADER - FREE DAILY HOT ALERTS [CLICK HERE]

s p 500 history chart - s&p 500 returns chart

"s p 500 history chart - s&p 500 returns chart" 

in the news s p 500 history chart - s&p 500 returns chart? What this all about..... See below. 

------------------------------

Sentiment Trader notice U.S. equities closed mixed on Friday, but managed another record close, while investors kept an eye on France's presidential election.

"Investors right now continue to shrug off almost all bearish news and continue buying stocks," said Adam Sarhan, CEO of 50 Park Investments. "Pullbacks now last hours; not days."

"Right now, it seems we are in a state of unadulterated buying in the market, we think. 

The Dow Jones industrial average closed just above breakeven, with UnitedHealth contributing the most losses and Boeing the most gains.

The S&P 500 closed 0.1 percent higher, with telecommunications outperforming. The telecommunications sector, which had been one of the worst performers for most of Friday's session, erased losses in afternoon trade. Reuters reported that Japan's SoftBank Group is prepared to give up control of Sprint to T-Mobile to clinch a merger of the two U.S. wireless carriers.

Here is the chart, you can notice the S&P is in a nice upwards channel with the price right now up at resistance that goes back to mid 2016, so if there is going to be a problem in this rally it would come soon. 

This is quite interesting. 

CLICK HERE - To Get Our Daily Charts & VIP Updates

It's not a surprise to see the market pause here, The question is whether this is the beginning of a pullback or just a pause."

The three major indexes had posted record closing highs five straight sessions before closing mixed Thursday. Lifting stocks were the prospects of President Donald Trump presenting a "phenomenal" tax plan soon, as well as solid economic data.

DON'T MISS OUT ON OUR HOTTEST updates Click the link below....

SENTIMENT TRADER - FREE DAILY HOT ALERTS [CLICK HERE]

Will the stock market continue to rally in 2017

SENTIMENT TRADER - FREE DAILY HOT ALERTS [CLICK HERE]

Will the stock market continue to rally in 2017

"Will the stock market continue to rally in 2017" 

in the news Will the stock market continue to rally in 2017? What this all about..... See below. 

------------------------------

Well there are many people talking up the market, and then there are others who say a catastrophic event is on the way very soon. There is accumulating evidence that the economy is very much strengthening, and if this is the truth, that could be very good for the economy and stocks in 2017. 

Although we can have a very optimistic view. We must take into consideration TRUMP will be president next year, and no one is really sure what is in store for us. So there are a few simple warnings for investors.

If the bull market continues for the next few months, and does not take a pause. Then what you have on your hands is a market that is vulnerable. Meaning, the higher we go, the more chance we will have of some type of serious correction.  If we get higher interest rates, and we have a strong US dollar as well that would be something many investors will be afraid of, so we have to be careful here, to think the market will go skywards every week without some type of pause. 

Let’s be honest, since Donald trump Got in, the market shot up fast, and may be getting a little ahead of itself.  Think of a helium balloon, once the balloon is fresh with helium it will go up and up, but there will be a point as which the balloon will start to lose its strength, and then deflate and stop ascending. 

The equities in the US have been going higher since Donald Trump’s surprising victory. Some have been referring to this as the TRUMP RALLY, or the DONALD TRUMP rally. Maybe this is a coincidence because people are sick of the lies from the democrats and want change. Maybe Donald Trump getting in, could mean a cleansing out for the economy and stock market and that could be a good thing. Time will tell. 

You can now see that the S&P has broken the very solid resistance at 2175 and we have exploded UP very very violently. 

CLICK HERE - To Get Our Daily Charts & VIP Updates

What we have to remember is this current bull market could continue, and the reason is due to lower tax rates and a business environment that is much friendly, once Trump is actually in the white house office.

Smart money is already starting to shift to consumer staples and discretionary plays, as well as technology. It seems Donald trump is going to support these areas, and there could be huge growth potential in the next 4 years.  That would be an area some of the smart investors are looking right now as we head towards 2017.

With better economic growth and tax reforms that would mean small- and mid-cap stocks will benefit quite extensively, but if the US dollar was to keep rallying, that would only hurt larger multinationals. 

DON'T MISS OUT ON OUR HOTTEST updates Click the link below....

SENTIMENT TRADER - FREE DAILY HOT ALERTS [CLICK HERE]

Here's what to expect from the Trump trade in the week ahead

WHAT IF YOU KNEW WHICH WAY THE MARKET WAS ABOUT TO MOVE BEFORE IT HAPPENED? SUBSCRIBE TODAY!! & PROFIT TOMORROW! 



Powered by 123ContactForm | Report abuse

Here's what to expect from the Trump trade in the week ahead

Here's what to expect from the Trump trade in the week ahead

"Here's what to expect from the Trump trade in the week ahead" 

so Here's what to expect from the Trump trade in the week ahead . What to watch..... See below. 

------------------------------

The higher yields and stronger dollar of the Trump trade should continue to dominate markets in the week ahead.

At the same time, with stocks near all-time highs, traders are watching to see if gains fade in some of the more bubbly sectors of the stock market. The four-day Thanksgiving trading week does have some economic data, including existing home sales Tuesday, and new home sales and durable goods on Wednesday.

Plus the fact that There is more money starting to pour into the financial sectors. So right now that is a sector we are going to have to watch further. Here is the chart....

Markets have been recalibrating with money moving out of bonds and into stocks since the surprise election win by Donald Trump. The dollar index has risen 3 percent to a 14-year high, and Treasury yields, which move inversely to price, are at the highs of the year.

The president-elect's promise to cut taxes and launch a giant fiscal spending package has spurred expectations that growth will pick up, pushing up inflation and leading to higher interest rates.

Small caps have ridden the wave, setting new highs in the past week, but the broader market did not, with the S&P 500 ending the week at 2,181, up 0.8 percent but 9 points below its record close. The small cap Russell 2000 was the star performer, up 2.5 percent for the week at a record 1315. The Russell is now up 10 percent since the election and has been up 11 days in a row for the first time since 2003. cnbc

We could meander more than we press new highs, because I think we're going to see unwinding of some of the stretched trades," There has been an 11 percent gain in the S&P financial sector and the 5 percent jump in industrials since the election. The S&P 500 is up 2 percent in the same time frame.

If more bulls enter the market, there is a situation where the S&P could reach 2,350 in 2017, and 2,500 by 2018, before the bull market ends.

If the S&P is going to get over 2,200 real soon, it would need a catalyst, inauguration the fact that the incoming Trump administration has put corporate tax cuts at the top of its agenda is a major positive. That could be just the ticket needed. Time will tell. 

Every five points of the structural tax rates reduction would boost profits in the S&P 500 by about 4 percent," Trump proposes a 15 percent tax rate from the current 35 percent, but even a 25 percent rate would be a big plus. Domestic industries would benefit more than those with a lot of overseas profits.


The Trump transition in markets comes as economic data was beginning to look better. "The economic data is important and the Fed is only talking about raising rates two times next year, and  bond yields may be moving too quickly. He said the move in the dollar makes more sense, and its potential impact on multinational earnings has not yet started to worry the stock market. 

The 10-year Treasury yield pushed higher in the past week, trading at 2.35 percent late Friday.

10-year yield is at an important balancing point. It is at a level – 2.30 to 2.35 - that it was at late last year when the markets believed the economy was improving and the Fed was going to hike rates four times in 2016. But weakness in China, Brexit and other factors intervened, and the Fed now is only on track to hike once this year, in December.

If you believe there has been a fundamental shift in the markets with a Trump presidency, which means it's going to be more about business investment, capex … then yields should be higher, north of 2.75 percent. If you believe we're still in secular stagnation mode, then yields are going to be lower.

one negative would be if Trump begins to take steps to change trade accords that would spark retaliatory action from trade partners. that's the wild card," 

We may be getting way ahead of ourselves. There is one thing we can't measure, and that is animal spirits. If animal spirits are rising and confidence is moving higher, that could be surprising, yields could go higher than expected more quickly.

The thing with balancing points is they're inherently unstable. We're not going to stay here for long. We're either going higher in this shared optimistic world, or we're going to flip around say nothing is going to to work — we're back to stagflation,

Oil is another factor to watch in the week ahead. West Texas Intermediate crude futures ended the past week 5.3 percent higher at $45.69 per barrel, amid speculation OPEC and other producers will strike a deal on production.


We have our overall outlook for pending 2017 period in the coming newsletter

You can grab a FREE 14 Day Trial to Our newsletter here. 

More updates coming please stay tuned

FOR MORE INFO & UPDATES.......==>   Join Our VIP ELITE GROUP  -- FREE!


.[[ CONTACT US -  24 Hour Support Staff - Click Here ]]

Equity fund flows surge as bond and EM funds bleed in the week following Trump’s victory

WHAT IF YOU KNEW WHICH WAY THE MARKET WAS ABOUT TO MOVE BEFORE IT HAPPENED? SUBSCRIBE TODAY!! & PROFIT TOMORROW! 



Powered by 123ContactForm | Report abuse

Equity fund flows surge as bond and EM funds bleed in the week following Trump’s victory

Equity fund flows surge as bond and EM funds bleed in the week following Trump’s victory

"Equity fund flows surge as bond and EM funds bleed in the week following Trump’s victory" 

so Equity fund flows surge as bond and EM funds bleed in the week following Trump’s victory? Why is this happening..... See below. 

------------------------------

Money poured into global equity funds as investors yanked allocations from global fixed income and emerging market strategies in the week following Donald Trump's victory in the U.S. election, according to data from financial intelligence firm EPFR Global.

As global equity funds pulled in over $27 billion for the week ended November 16, global bond funds lost two-thirds of that amount, making it the second largest weekly outflow since the data provider began to track the asset class's flows in the first quarter of 2002. Money market funds lost a further $14 billion for the week.

The key themes picked up by investors heading into a Trump presidency were clearly reflected in flows as U.S. equity investments were concentrated towards financial, healthcare and industrial sectors.

These speak to the widespread belief that the President-elect will seek to boost fiscal spend, cut red tape and encourage interest rates to resume an upward trajectory.

Within the report, EPFR Global Director of Research, Cameron Brandt said, "This week's flows are certainly consistent with the narrative that Trump's policies spell reflation in the US and a lighter regulatory burden for a number of sectors."

"They are also consistent with the assumption the benefits of a hotter U.S. economy will not flow as smoothly through trade channels to other countries and regions," he added.

President of Mexico Enrique Pena Nieto walks along US Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump after a meeting at Los Pinos on August 31, 2016 in Mexico City, Mexico.

President of Mexico Enrique Pena Nieto walks along US Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump after a meeting at Los Pinos on August 31, 2016 in Mexico City, Mexico.

Such regions include emerging markets whose hard and local currency funds saw the largest cash outflows on record and the highest as a percentage of assets under management (AUM) since the so-called "taper tantrum" during the second quarter of 2013.

Two emerging markets bucking the trend were Mexico and Russia.

Despite Trump's threats of building a wall between the U.S. and Mexico to stem north-bound migration and of watering down NAFTA (the U.S. free trade agreement with Mexico and Canada), Mexican equity funds pulled in more than $250 million for the second week in a row. This as the market was perceived as oversold with anticipation growing that spillover from any boost to the U.S. economy from a Trump presidency could offset newly erected trade barriers.

Flows into Russian equity funds bounced to an 87-week high as optimism over the future of the relationship between the world's largest country and the U.S. rebounded given Trump's open attitude towards Russian President Putin during and since the Presidential campaign.

Have a look at the RUSSIA stock market below. Its holding pretty strong, and well here. Quite interesting!!!

This as Russia's economy appears to be turning a corner; business confidence in the country is growing and expectations are rising that the European Union (EU) might not be able to maintain a united front on punitive sanctions.

While high-yield bond flows suffered $3 billion of redemptions and municipal bond funds recorded their biggest outflows in over three years, floating rate and inflation protected bond products attracted strong inflows. Bank Loan funds rebounded while inflation-protected bond funds secured an additional $500 million for the sixth time in the past seven weeks to add one more week to their longest straight run of inflows since the first half of 2011.

Equity sectors going against the overall grain were real estate and consumer goods, the former expected to be hit by the anticipated rise in interest rates and the latter by expectations for more subdued wage growth than under a Hillary Clinton presidency.

The exuberance seen in equity markets was reflected in a survey carried out by alternative assets data provider Preqin following the election, in which 53 percent of managers said they believed the new administration would be positive for hedge funds and private capital funds.

They pointed to bumps from expectations for increased fiscal spend and cuts to corporation tax as key reasons for their optimism although they broadly viewed dilution of free trade treaties as a potential negative.

Only 12 percent of the 182 alternative asset managers surveyed expect Trump's presidency to have a negative effect on the industry.

We have our overall outlook for pending 2017 period in the coming newsletter

You can grab a FREE 14 Day Trial to Our newsletter here. 

More updates coming please stay tuned

FOR MORE INFO & UPDATES.......==>   Join Our VIP ELITE GROUP  -- FREE!


.[[ CONTACT US -  24 Hour Support Staff - Click Here ]]