Web Statistics The Sentiment Trader
Showing posts with label santa claus rally. Show all posts
Showing posts with label santa claus rally. Show all posts

Friday, 23 November 2012

santa claus rally - Is he really here

we have been talking about a santa claus rally and it seems we have the beginning signs of that.

What we must remember here is that this week we have to almost toss out the window, as the smart money is gone from the market, and as I warned we had the market reversal that was actually expected, and happen almost 100% of the time leading into major holidays.

The "smart money" does come back next week.

To the charts, and we can see on the hourly how we have had nothing but straight up on the market. The hourly chart is at EXTREME overbought conditions and it is likely the market needs to cool off some time next week. It is wayyy overdue.

We have been overbought now for a few days, and normally when this occurs its almost guarenteed we see some sort of sell off occur and will not be too far away.


santa claus rally
santa claus rally 




Taking a look at the Nasdaq daily chart we can see the very nice downwards channel that started in OCT 2012 has now been breached and signalling higher prices are coming, but first we probably need to see the market cool off after such a massive run this week. Infact a bit of selling next week even if it is heavy would actually be good thing for the bulls. 

santa claus rally
santa claus rally 

As you can see when the smart money is out the market, we can see many violent moves in either direction. This holiday reversal was a good one, and more volume and smart money will slowly drift back into the market in by the end of next week.

Have a good weekend. Happy trading :-)

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Wednesday, 21 November 2012

santa claus rally - are we seeing the start of a santa claus rally

santa claus rally ? Really? When I got up this morning and took a look at some charts the first thought that went through my noggin' upstairs is that there could be a santa claus rally starting.

Have a look at the S&P weekly chart below and decide for yourself if we are about to experience a santa clause rally. As you can see every time we have hit the major support line on the weekly charts we have bounced quite healthily. Will this happen again? well...... I go more into detail in THE VIP SECTION HERE however, time will tell!.


santa claus rally

santa claus rally
santa claus rally



santa claus rally






I will let you be the judge of a santa clause rally or not, but be careful I see alot of analysts saying the market is about to crash, but as you can see there is not reason to FALL IN LOVE WITH THE DOWNSIDE right here and now.

I will be out of town for the next few days, and will not be able to post an update. Happy trading! :-)



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