best stock market forecasters - best stock market forecasters

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best stock market forecasters 

"best stock market forecasters " 

 what the  best stock market forecasters are saying what about the market? What this all about..... See below. 

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Sentiment Trader is hounding the best stock market forecasters around town for answers on what is happening to the market so we can help our AWESOME  ==> our VIP MEMBERS here <==  right now it seems the Bull Trots Steadily On
After another week of gains, investors aren’t getting out of this market soon. Just ahead, a record for consecutive days without a 5% selloff.

After another week of strong gains for stocks, the fear of missing out could drive this bull market even higher. We will find out soon enough I guess. 

the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 368.58 points, or 1.6%, to 22,773.67, its fourth consecutive week of gains. The Nasdaq Co mposite gained 1.5% to 6590.18, a record high, while the Standard & Poor’s 500 index rose 1.2% to 2549.33.

And what well-earned gains they were. Early last week, the Institute for Supply Management’s manufacturing index hit 60.8, its highest level since 2004. That was followed by better-than-expected jobless claims and durable goods orders on Thursday. Even Friday’s weaker-than-expected payrolls report could be explained away due to the hurricanes that hammered the country during September. Looking ahead to next week, September’s consumer-price-index data could provide more evidence of a not-too-hot, not-too-cold economy.


Have a look at the market, we had our first red day in weeks. But the markets are skyrocketing!! It seems santa is come to fill the sacks early for investors. This is quite interesting. 

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Our Members here => VIP members here    think the market has gone bananas! Some of our newer members think the market cannot go higher this year. But in all our experience we need to tell you the market can remain irrational, much longer than traders can remain SOLVENT in terms of money. 

Generally, fundamentals look good, but things are skyrocketing, so We expect the expansion to continue at a much slow rate.

Speaking of slow: The S&P 500 has now gone 332 days without a 5% drop, second only to the 333-day rally that began on Nov. 23, 1994.

Our top analysts here at SENTIMENT TRADER reminds us that bull markets generally see a “blowoff” move from at least one market sector before all is said and done. He points to 2007 and the rally in oil stocks—the energy sector gained 32% that year as the market was topping—and I’d add the tech sector’s 78% rise in 1999.

We are thinking that no matter what, its pretty obvious to us that, the bull market probably isn’t done yet, we think bigger dips or a larger sell off could happen.  They call this THE MOST UNLOVED bull market in history” Gretz say. But it will be loved or well liked long before it’s over!!! 

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Don't be fooled! Spotting a phony rally

Don't be fooled! Spotting a phony rally

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Don't be fooled! Spotting a phony rally

Don't be fooled! Spotting a phony rally

Don't be fooled! Spotting a phony rally

so are we dealing with a market situation right now that is saying HEY YOU - Don't be fooled! Spotting a phony rally . Well, its something to look at because lately the market is just having a terrible time of trying to let the bulls out of the gates. Infact when you look at the charts, we have been just going sideways for months now, and many investors are either nervous, or do not know what to do. Have a look at the daily chart for the S&P 500....what a weird sideways pattern, and the BREXIT mess a week ago, did not help the situation.....

Don't be fooled! Spotting a phony rally

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We understands technicals play a vital role in understanding if a big move is the real deal.

"Why do charts work? First, you must consider them as if they are footprints at a scene of a crime. These footprints trace out what big money managers might be doing with their buying and selling of stocks,"

The second reason to care about charts is that we find there is a remarkable self-fulfilling nature of charting stocks. Some of the best investment ideas can come from chart inspired brainstorming sessions — though  that the best way to produce results is with a careful melding of both fundamentals and technicals. When you do it together, its just gets more powerful really.

Good technical analysis means being able to find the indicators that will help to determine the overall direction of the market, especially since so many stocks are influenced by the S&P stock futures.

What indicators does We watch for?

Sometimes technicians start by comparing the chart of an individual company to the chart of an average to determine the legitimacy of a move. This is what is known as confirmation.

For instance if the Dow Jones Industrial Average hit a new high, historically it is not sustainable unless the Dow Jones Transportation Average also hits a high, or confirms the breakout status of the Dow itself. So, if both the industrials and the transports hit a new high, we will consider the move to be one we can bless as being legitimate.

Other indicators that we will watch for are the banking index, the housing index, the semiconductor index, or the SOX and RTH, the ETF that encompasses large retailers.

W like to see all of these indices move up in sync before I truly bless a market move. You get all of these indices rolling higher, and you have to put the maximum amount of chips on the table.

The inverse is also true. If there is a move up without confirmation from a majority of the indices, then the whole rally could be fake and cannot be trusted.

We saw this occur right before the Great Recession, when there was no participation from the financials, retail and tech.

Additional internals that we look at are advances and declines, as they will indicate if a rally is too concentrated. We like to have a market with good participation from many different groups. He also looks at the new high to new low ratio, since it isn't easy to get on the new high list.

You may not be a technician but you need to know what the charts are saying and you need to know how to read the internals to verify a real move or a phony one, right now this chart is giving mixed signals to us, but the bulls surely are not going full bore here, and that is something to be a little bit more worried about.

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 I cover more and more technical analysis ==> HERE in our VIP members section.

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Dow Transports Fall Hard—A Sign Market Rally Could Be Cracking

Dow Transports Fall Hard—A Sign Market Rally Could Be Cracking

Today the Dow Transports Fall Hard—A Sign Market Rally Could Be Cracking...

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Lets Take a look at the dow Transports chart. As you can see, the leader of the market is looking very bad. The S&P 500 has just started to crack, however the dow jones transports have given us a few days notice that something was in the woodwork...

dow jones transports

Its seems that the major uptrend line has been broken. As we have been saying for a few weeks now, the bears could be back.

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From : CNBC

The sharp selloff in the Dow Transportation index this week is causing some strategists to wonder what is happening.

The Transportation index—which led the market higher in the last few months—surged 13 percent for the first quarter, while the Dow Jones climbed 11 percent in the same period. The Transports, considered by some to be an economic bellwether are up 22 percent since the market rally began in November, while the Dow is up 16 percent and the S&P 500 is up 14.8 percent.

But this week, the Dow Transports declined more than 1 percent each day and broke below the 50-day moving average in a third day of selling Wednesday. The last time the index dropped 1 percent or more a day, in a three day period, was back in July.

By Wednesday, the broader stock market joined the sell off, logging its worst one-day performance in over a month. The losses came a day after the Dow and S&P 500 both closed at record highs.

Stocks continue to hit new highs daily, but are the good times about to end? The FMHR traders, discuss. Also, Larry MacDonald of Newedge and Savita Subramanian of Bank of America Merrill Lynch, share their market outlooks.The initial divergence in the indexes earlier this week was a red flag for traders, who also were watching an outsized drop in the small cap Russell 2000 index. The Russell is down 3.5 percent for the week so far. The Dow Transports are down nearly 4 percent, while the Dow is down just 0.2 percent and the S&P 500 is off nearly 1 percent.

For Dow Theory enthusiasts, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Dow Jones Transportation index need to move in lockstep to reach new highs or lows. A separation implies that the market will decline to its former trading range.

 "Given the fact that the small caps and transports have played a major role in the advance of this rally over the last few months, this is something to watch and could represent a potential turning point or lead to some churning in the days ahead," said Michael Sheldon, chief market strategist at RDM Financial Group.

But with the growing number of traders and strategists expecting a market pullback on the heels of the robust first-quarter rally, the latest action in small caps and transports have some wondering if the steepness of the declines could be signs that cracks are forming in the recent rally.

"Trying to predict when the market is going to pullback is hard…but the market has had a significant advance so it would only be natural and healthy to digest some of the gains as investors look for the next catalyst," said Sheldon.

Meanwhile, some experts downplayed the concerns, saying history shows the divergence doesn't always lead to a longer-term downtrend.

Looking at small caps, for instance, there have been only five other two-day periods in the last decade where the S&P 500 traded up while at the same time, the Russell 2000 traded down more than 1.5 percent. And according to Bespoke Investment Group, the S&P 500 has been up an average of nearly 5.5 percent in the following month. Similarly, the Russell 2000 also saw remarkable gains with an average return of more than 8 percent.

"While there has been a lot of angst over the recent underperformance of small caps, based on the historical record, these periods have typically not been a sign of the beginning of a longer-term downtrend for small caps or the overall market," according to a note from Bespoke.


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ascending triangle pattern

ascending triangle pattern

There is nothing much to report here in OPEX, as all seems to be quiet going into the end of the week.

Tomorrow we have the JOBLESS CLAIMS, the philly fed, and a few earnings report to kick off the day.

It seems right now, every time the S&P comes off 5-7 points we rally higher into the end of the day.

What I thought was worth mentioning is the NASDAQ chart which seems to be bumping and grinding a little higher. But on the daily chart below, we seemed to have formed an ASCENDING TRIANGLE on a pole.

normally these sorts of patterns precede higher prices, especially with the indices.

ascending triangle pattern

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risk on risk off - is it risk on or risk off

weeeeeeee! Up We Gooooooo!!!! LOL :P

The S&P is up over 70 points in 3 days. WOW! IT has been a complete BEAR SMOKING to the upside here.

We warned our readers to not fall in love with the downside, when we were in low volume holiday trading and now you can see why :-)

Today was a good day in the market. MOC we had almost 7 billion volume to buy. Even though the markets are overextended, they can remain that way for a while. Bears have really been creamed in the last few days, and probably lost all hope. LOL :->

What is happening right now, is that we get all these little FALSE sell offs, and that has been tricking the bears. They have been trying to test the market on the sell side, they put in their buys stops, we rally up higher, then their stops go off like a rocket and that gives us more of a boost higher!

When you have NATURAL CASH buying or buyers in the market, like we do have right now they send us up higher and keep us triggering the buy programs and or buy stops up overhead. That's what I saw many weeks ago, and warned our readers and that is why we keep ripping to the upside.

Over the last 4 days, smart money has put $5.5 billion dollars to work in the broader markets. In laymen's terms this means in the short term, the markets are most likely to go HIGHER. YES!

I guess we can say that there is a little bit of risk here also at the moment. The higher the market goes up without any serious pullbacks, at some point we will get that pull back and it will probably be a good sized one.

Now we are above our important levels of 1440 and 1450, it means that we are possibly making our way to the 1485 - 1490 now, so prepare yourself. :-)

Already our members are off to a flying start for 2013, and we are only a few days in. :-)

Happy trading :-)



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