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Showing posts with label fed reserve. Show all posts
Showing posts with label fed reserve. Show all posts

Tuesday, 30 August 2016

Calm before the storm - Calm before the storm

Calm before the storm

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Calm before the storm ?



Calm before the storm
Calm before the storm



Calm before the storm

Is the stock market really in a situation of us seeing the calm before the storm... Is this true?

U.S. stocks closed lower Tuesday, with utilities falling 1 percent, as investors analyzed strong consumer data while keeping an eye on Federal Reserve ahead of Friday's jobs report.

"After coming off of Jackson Hole, ...all the attention is now to the jobs report," said Bob Phillips, managing principal at Spectrum Management Group. "If it comes out to be a decent number, I think the market will sell off."

Economists polled by Reuters expect the U.S. economy to have added 180,000 jobs in August.

Investors continued searching for clues regarding the Fed's next move Tuesday, after Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer said the U.S. job market is almost at full strength. Fischer made his remarks less than a week after telling CNBC that the August jobs report will weigh on the central bank's decision on whether to raise interest rates.

"We are officially in a rate-rising market, even thought it's only been one rate rise," said Larry Rosenthal, president at Rosenthal Wealth Management Group. "People need to go back to basics and ... have lower beta portfolios." "Keep things simple."

The S&P 500 fell 0.2 percent, with utilities leading nine sectors lower and financials the only advancer. The financials sector has risen more than 3 percent in August, leading all 10 sectors.

Looking at the chart, the S&P has not done much for WEEKS!!! But as you can tell, this does not occur that frequently. Eventually this will break either way. We can say that the month of SEPTEMBER does tend to be a Negative type of month, so just a heads up. That is a statistic if look back 50 years. A break of 2150 spx would be bearish, but as we said, the smart money is doing nothing right now!. 

Calm before the storm


"The consumer confidence came in strong and that bodes well for the Fed to raise rates," said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at First Standard Financial, but noted he does not expect the Fed to hike next month, rather later this year. "That shows consumer are cheerful and that spending will remain [high]."
Other data released Tuesday included the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite index, which rose 5.1 percent year over year, versus expectations of 5.2 percent.

"These are the dog days of summer," said Bruce McCain, chief investment strategist at Key Private Bank. "It's a pretty boring time in terms of economic data and the net result is the market doesn't know what to do."
Stocks closed higher on Monday, with the S&P rising 0.52 percent, marking its 36th straight session without a 1 percent move higher or lower on a closing basis. At the close, Monday was on pace for the lowest trading volume day of the year.  -    Source : Cnbc.


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Sunday, 3 November 2013

Why Hasn't The Markets Crashed

Why Hasn't The Markets Crashed?

Alot of people out there seem to think the market was going to crash this year in 2013?

Because of THIS GUY! 



Now we at the end of 2013 and not only has the market NOT CRASHED, we hit new highs in the last several weeks and seem to be holding.

So...... Why Hasn't The Markets Crashed?



In my own opinion, it's pretty simple. The predicament the US faces right now they are setting many extra ordinary policies against an economy that is still very damaged.

The employment data coming out of the US is still pretty bad, and if it stays that way definatly won't see any tapering on the market, and the FEDERAL RESERVE have confirmed this numerous times. Particularly with Janet Yellen taking over the FED RESERVE early next year as her reputation is seen as more dovish.

Equity prices right now are in a bubble, I will be the first to admit that! However what traders out there are failing to realize is that Quantitative Easing is like liquid VIAGRA holding up the markets right now. Its like the rocket fuel that is not running out sending up equities and other asset classes and I think it is a fantastic representation of what is really going... WHICH IS : When Q.E. Stops there is going to be a much bigger catastrophe in the markets....yes! Bigger than the one we had back in 2008.

But for now, there is not reason to panic and get scared, as there are no signs this massive liquid injections into the markets by the fed is going to end anytime soon. One day they WILL have to, but for now they will continue to soldier one with their plans.


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