Why Hasn't The Markets Crashed

Why Hasn't The Markets Crashed?

Alot of people out there seem to think the market was going to crash this year in 2013?

Because of THIS GUY! 



Now we at the end of 2013 and not only has the market NOT CRASHED, we hit new highs in the last several weeks and seem to be holding.

So...... Why Hasn't The Markets Crashed?



In my own opinion, it's pretty simple. The predicament the US faces right now they are setting many extra ordinary policies against an economy that is still very damaged.

The employment data coming out of the US is still pretty bad, and if it stays that way definatly won't see any tapering on the market, and the FEDERAL RESERVE have confirmed this numerous times. Particularly with Janet Yellen taking over the FED RESERVE early next year as her reputation is seen as more dovish.

Equity prices right now are in a bubble, I will be the first to admit that! However what traders out there are failing to realize is that Quantitative Easing is like liquid VIAGRA holding up the markets right now. Its like the rocket fuel that is not running out sending up equities and other asset classes and I think it is a fantastic representation of what is really going... WHICH IS : When Q.E. Stops there is going to be a much bigger catastrophe in the markets....yes! Bigger than the one we had back in 2008.

But for now, there is not reason to panic and get scared, as there are no signs this massive liquid injections into the markets by the fed is going to end anytime soon. One day they WILL have to, but for now they will continue to soldier one with their plans.


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Taper Talks

Taper Talks

Benny Boy - Hey Presto!

Looking at data here over the weekend, and I am starting to believe all this talk of tapering is just hyped up gibberish. They are due to give some sort of announcement on the 17th & 18th Of September.

Yes! Ok, I do believe that some day, they are going to have to stop printing money out of thin and throwing that in the market. However all these talks about tapering really is just that....all talk and NO ACTION! fancy that! :P :P

So you can put me in the camp where I believe no tapering is coming in SEPTEMBER and the reason is that there are too many concerns out there at the moment. And I am of the belief it will be a more drawn out event over many months, possibly even longer as there are too many economic concerns out there especially at the moment.

Right now with the market dropping it is self evident to me that the MARKET is PRICING or FACTORING in Tapering or wants to relieve some pressure. This is another reason why tapering will be a very lengthy long drawn out conclusion.

You have to remember we have seen quite a move in bonds lately which are going down, and futures markets are going higher.

Bonds Chart

A lot of the smart traders out there are thinking about the bigger picture and the about the bigger issues that are about to be tackled. The economy right now is far too volatile for the fed to say its safe to start TAPERING I believe.

Just my 0.02 cents.

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Market Breadth Chart

With all the relentless selling in the market over the last few weeks you can see that we are back down to fair value on the market breadth chart. Every time we get down under the green line and rally back above, there is a good chance the market sees some more buyers come on board. The next few days will be interesting as we are coming up for a fed meeting next week, and we see what Mr Bernanke Wanky has to say about QE tapering.

More lies, and more bullshit from the fed and government! There is one thing that we can be very thankful for, and that is charts like this below. WHY? Well simple, the charts never ever LIE! :-)

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