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Showing posts with label gold chart. Show all posts
Showing posts with label gold chart. Show all posts

Saturday, 10 December 2016

gold investment advice - investing in gold is good or bad


gold investment advice - investing in gold is good or bad

"gold investment advice - investing in gold is good or bad" 

the best gold investment advice - investing in gold is good or bad? What this all about..... See below. 

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Sentiment Trader has - 3 Warnings about Investing In Gold?  

Are you a baby boomer and thinking about inflation-hedging investments?  There are the all time classics such as : gold, real estate trusts and also energy! These are all very good examples. But this might be dangerous thinking at the end of 2016. 

Here is why :-

Throughout history, in the stock market there has been rather large bouts of high inflation and low inflation. Conditions in the real world never mimic themselves in the stock market. So you must always realize that. There is no straight forward answer. Sometimes tried-and-true inflation-hedging asset classes are not always the secret answer.

Here are 3 very important things to remember. 

1. Gold is getting pummeled right now.

Though considered a good hedge against inflation, gold is going down quite quickly. What has accelerated it, is the fact that TRUMP is now going to be the president.  People are too quick to say BUY the dip without realizing some of the problems that are surfacing, one that Donald Trump could kill the gold rally even more. 

This is quite interesting - This is the current daily GOLD CHART..... 



If you look at the current gold chart, and compare that to the US dollar, you have noticed the US dollar is currently skyrocketing, and the gold is getting squashed like never before. Infact, buying the dip would not be a very astute thing to do. That is because as you read this, Gold has just suffered its worst month since the month of June back in 2013, and we are down close to 8 percent since November 2016. Many investors have learnt from the past, you do not buy gold when it dips, because more times than not a dip can sometimes turn into a crash of sorts. 

2. Past performance can fool people. 

What happens in the past is not indicative of what happens in the future. 
Gold, REITs are very "real assets" and has rallied quite nicely in the last 10 years. You get to a point where that will need to flatten out or take a break at some point.
You also have the problem that many people who have invested in gold over the last decade are reveling in profits and will want to cash out soon. 

It could be an over invested asset and many do not see the danger signs. Because gold has been rallying for decades now, people think they just sit and buy gold right now and it will keep rising and rallying at the same rate each year. This is incorrect thinking and how investor have been hoodwinked and lose lots of money. 

Morningstar newsletter surveys are now predicting realized return expectations for major asset classes like gold over the next decade, and gold, REITs are projected to do worse than inflation-protected bonds. In simple terms they are much riskier than bonds. 

Sometimes when you look at gold investors Inflation hedges are like rules of thumb because they might have worked in the past and they will sit and sucker-punch investors back into old trades, which can leave them with huge losses on their investment sheets. 

Most investors who do well in this space almost always make sure they have a diversified portfolio.

3. Never  overdo it!

The most common mistake with any investor Is that try to reconfigure an investment portfolio when they are doing well. They will hunt stocks, and commodities that are the flavor of the month. Especially if someone thinks trump will make gold a good investment they will hurry in without thinking of the real results and the agenda of a Trump presidency or what the fed will be doing over the next 4 years. 

In a projected statement by the fed, they are predicting that the CPI will go from 1.6 to over 2 next year. Wages have climbed over the last year and have actually risen faster than inflation. If that really is the case, this would be a clear sign that the FED will not raise rates next year in 2017. 

Ultimately, if this actually does happen, investors will want to come back to stocks and not gold. As when you look at previous data, that has been the best long-term bet.


What many people do not understand is that innovative companies are usually the best investments in this type of environment we are seeing and under a Trump republican presidency. The reason being is these sorts of companies take it upon themselves to invest in the future, and future infrastructure. Sure we also need to take inflation into account. That is a must. However if you are a growth type investor companies who are constantly updating, changing with the times and innovative would be where strong profit potential really is.

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Thursday, 4 August 2016

Investing In Gold and Silver – 3 Things You Should Know

Investing In Gold and Silver – 3 Things You Should Know

Gold and silver have long been recognized as valuable. In the last 5000 years gold is the only form of money that has never failed. That alone should tell you why investors flock to precious metals in time of crisis. Both gold and silver are two of the safest investments you could ever make. They also provide you with the best opportunity to increase your wealth.

If you are considering investing in gold and silver, here are 3 things you should know before you take the plunge:

#1 – Precious Metals Can Protect You From Inflation and Deflation

Both gold and silver can serve as hedges against inflation and deflation. Because of this, there are some experts who believe gold is an asset everyone should invest in. Andrew Carrillo, one of the top financial planners in Miami, advices all of his retiree clients to have at least 5% of their portfolio invested in gold. He himself has 50% of his total investment assets in gold.

And as he so eloquently stated, its not running out of money that's the biggest risk when you get ready to retire. Instead its running out of purchasing power due to inflation or deflation. Gold and silver can protect you from both.

#2 – Precious Metals Do Not Generate Income

This is one of the main reasons other experts advise against investing in gold and silver. Unlike most investments, precious metals do not generate income. The purpose of investing is to generate an income. This is especially true when you are nearing retirement.

In some cases you may be better off investing in dividend paying stocks or high quality bonds instead of gold and silver. Generally speaking stocks will appreciate over an extended period of time and are fully capable of dealing with inflation.

#3 – High Taxes

This is yet another reason you may want to reconsider investing in gold and silver. The government views gold as a collectible. Because of this you will be taxed as high as 28 percent on any profits you make as a result of selling your gold. When you sale your stocks, you are only taxed as much as 15 percent. That's a big difference.

When it comes to investing in gold and silver, the key is to focus on diversification. You should never put all of your eggs in one basket. You should also avoid gold collectibles or coin products that are considered rare. If you are serious about investing, buy bullion. 


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Sunday, 10 April 2016

Someone bet $2 million on gold rally - See this



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Someone bet $2 million on gold rally - See this ?



Someone bet $2 million on gold rally - See this
Someone bet $2 million on gold rally - See this



Someone bet $2 million on gold rally - See this

The GLD, the ETF that tracks gold, has been on a tear — up 17 percent this year. And according to one savvy trader, the precious metal's run is far from over.

On Thursday, when bullish trades outpaced bearish ones, a trader bet more than $2 million that the gold could rally 10 percent in one month.

The trader purchased 10,000 July 125-strike calls for $2.29. Since each call option accounts for 100 shares, this a $2 million bet that the GLD will rise above $127.30 by July expiration. 

The move comes as investors pile into the safe-haven assets as a number of factors like global uncertainty, the Fed and oil loom over the markets. Sentiment Trader have been watching this for a while, and we have seen that there is nervousness out there with the bigger investors. Especially with earnings coming this week.

We did some technical analysis on GOLD recently and you can see that there is a bullish flag forming, but not only that. IF you look at the bottom of the chart, you can see that the MACD seems to be rolling up to a BUY signal mid term. The last time the buy signal triggered on MACD for gold, we rallied quite extensively. Perhaps this is about to happen again?....  time will tell.....



Given how much it has moved just since January, just under 17 percent, you can see why risking just about 2 percent of the underline could be a smart bet. We will continue to monitor this for our VIP MEMBERS also. 

Shares were in the red on Friday, but up 1 percent for the week.  -    Source : Cnbc.


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Monday, 21 March 2016

should you buy gold



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should you buy gold ?


Should you buy gold
Should you buy gold



should you buy gold ?

Should you buy gold - One of Wall Street's most respected forecasters says the market's rally is in trouble, and that investors are likely to do better by betting on gold. That is why we had to cover the daily chart above that goes all the way back to 2013. After years of bearishness, is gold starting to come out of the wood, and beat on its hairy chest..screaming "I AM BACK!"

The Dow Jones industrial average and S&P 500 Index have staged dramatic comebacks from their lows, erasing or nearly erasing their losses for the year. In fact, the Dow's rebound may prove to be its best intraquarter rebound since 1933. That is quite impressive, for sure, but its seems that the bounce does not lack liquidity, meaning its basically novice traders caught short, and forced to cover their trade.

We would not be surprised if that the strong run may in fact be in jeopardy. It has many investors on edge, and smart money is staying away now we are back at the highs. But what is being talked about now, with a huge breakout move is gold. And the move could just be getting started. [See chart above]

That is, the popular trade of being long momentum stocks against a short position on the S&P 500 is being unwound. You can see it on the charts, but gold is another one that is taking our fancy at the moment.  Since the market bounce has been largely driven by re positioning, he sees little reason for it to continue in a meaningful way. You can literally see that the VOLUME that has been driving stocks the last few months, has not been strong at all. In fact its safe to say, its quite alarmed to see the price turn up so violently and not be backed up by FRESH money or LARGE volume at the same time. That is a bit of a warning sign our analysts think.


While the market has been basically trading inside a violent sideways range, what has been talked hot on the lips of astute investors is GOLD! investors should stick with the defensive gold trade right now, even after the recent surge in prices.  The Federal Reserve's more dovish policy outlook "should put some downward pressure on the dollar and hence should be supportive of gold." Well that makes more sense to us at the moment. Plus the fact that YELLEN keeps talking about inflation starting to creep in. In the past GOLD has always performed very well in an inflationary environment. In addition, the rising chance of Donald Trump's becoming the next president could also be bearish for the dollar, given the restrictive trade measures he has proposed, such as large tariffs against Chinese goods. "Generally, the U.S. dollar could be under some pressure if you have these types of policies,"

So trump, will probably get the nomination, but our studies suggest that HILLARY CLINTON will become the next president of the United State, and the first ever female as well.  Hopefully she gives Mr Trump the tongue lashing, he has been dishing out to everyone else. But back to the markets, if Trump was to win, that would be sour for the economy and stockmarket, and good for gold. 

Hillary would be a much more soothing tone for the markets, but the election results are many moons away right now. 

But fundamentals do not mean so much right now, you can see clearly on the charts, we are in the midst of a huge BREAKOUT to the upside, with supported volume. It seems the longer term investors are coming back in droves here. So it goes without saying, this could be a trigger for much more buying pressure and breakouts to the upside in the longer term also. Time will tell. 



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Monday, 12 August 2013

Gold Weekly Chart - Perking Up

Gold Weekly Chart - Perking Up

Taking a look at the weekly gold chart, there seems to be a lot of strength at the moment. Technically things look to be strengthening up a bit after a big correction.

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As you can see, there is divergence in the indicators, and we have broken out of a downwards channel that formed early this year, so a move outside this channel is quite significant. Hopefully it can hold. A move above 1365 would be even more positive and cause more buyers sitting on the sidelines to move in we think.

Gold

gold weekly chart

Gold Weekly Chart

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Saturday, 16 February 2013

Gold Chart - The Gold Chart update

We have been keeping an eye on the gold chart as of late. As you can see we have been in a massive downwards channel that has been holding very well.

The gold chart has a bottom projection target of the  high 1500's and we nearly hit that on friday after a rather significant sell off. This week gold sold off significantly, but there could be more downwards coming.

There are no buy signals yet, and we are of the opinion that gold is soon going to be a very good BUY soon.  One must be careful NOT just to buy right now, as there is still room to move on the downside, and the signals that sentiment trader is getting is just to be patient here, because most good traders know that on the market patience can BANK you alot of coin.

gold chart
gold chart - the latest gold chart




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